ASO Chlef vs MC Alger: model vs market
| Source | ASO Chlef | Draw | MC Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 26% | 60% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 14% | 26% | 60% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
ASO Chlef and MC Alger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.33
- Attack rating (ASO Chlef / MC Alger)
- 0.79 / 1.43
- Defence rating (ASO Chlef / MC Alger)
- 1.29 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ASO Chlef vs MC Alger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ASO Chlef goals. Columns: MC Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ASO Chlef vs MC Alger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ASO Chlef vs MC Alger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASO Chlef | 14% | 7.12 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| MC Alger | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.44 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ASO Chlef or draw) | 40% | 2.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or MC Alger) | 86% | 1.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win by 2+ | 34% | 2.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
ASO Chlef and MC Alger recent form
ASO Chlef
0W 1D 5L
MC Alger
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ASO Chlef at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: ASO Chlef at home only, MC Alger away only.
ASO Chlef vs MC Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: ASO Chlef 0 · draws 1 · MC Alger 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | MC Alger | 2-0 | ASO Chlef | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2026-01-09 | ASO Chlef | 0-0 | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Khenchela vs CS Constantine — team news & stats 2026-10-12
- JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad 2026-10-12
- US Biskra v MC Oran — match page 2026-10-13
- USM Alger vs JS Saoura 2026-10-13