JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad Prediction & Betting Tips 12/10/2026

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	JS El Biar	Draw	CR Belouizdad
Model	34%	30%	36%
Market	—	—	—
Published	34%	30%	36%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS El Biar and CR Belouizdad expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.18JS El Biar

1.23CR Belouizdad

Total expected goals: 2.41
Attack rating (JS El Biar / CR Belouizdad): 1.11 / 1.31
Defence rating (JS El Biar / CR Belouizdad): 1.04 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.3% 9.8% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 1 9.3% 14.3% 8.0% 3.3% 1.3% 2 6.2% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.8% 3 2.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: JS El Biar goals. Columns: CR Belouizdad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 71%

Over 2.5 43%

Over 3.5 22%

Both teams to score: 50%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	JS El Biar	34%	2.98
	Draw	30%	3.31
	CR Belouizdad	36%	2.76
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43%	2.32
	Under 2.5	57%	1.76
Both teams to score	Yes	50%	1.99
	No	50%	2.01
Double chance	1X (JS El Biar or draw)	64%	1.57
	12 (either side)	70%	1.43
	X2 (draw or CR Belouizdad)	66%	1.51
Handicap -1	CR Belouizdad win by 2+	16%	6.18
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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