Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 5

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad

Full time2 – 3

Alin prediction was CR Belouizdad to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS El BiarDrawCR Belouizdad

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS El BiarDrawCR Belouizdad
Model33%30%37%
Market20%30%50%
Published24%30%46%
Edge+3%0%-3%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad odds movement

Median bookmaker price on CR Belouizdad, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.12Now 1.80 -0.32
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
JS El Biar3.614.40+0.79
Draw2.833.00+0.17
CR Belouizdad2.121.80-0.32

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

JS El Biar and CR Belouizdad expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.19JS El Biar
1.25CR Belouizdad
Total expected goals
2.44
Attack rating (JS El Biar / CR Belouizdad)
1.20 / 1.25
Defence rating (JS El Biar / CR Belouizdad)
1.14 / 0.73

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.0% 9.6% 6.8% 2.9% 1.2% 1 9.1% 14.3% 8.1% 3.4% 1.4% 2 6.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8% 3 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: JS El Biar goals. Columns: CR Belouizdad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS El Biar24%4.23
Draw30%3.35
CR Belouizdad46%2.15
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.27
Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.96
No49%2.04
Double chance1X (JS El Biar or draw)54%1.87
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or CR Belouizdad)76%1.31
Handicap -1CR Belouizdad win by 2+17%6.04
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

JS El Biar and CR Belouizdad recent form

JS El Biar 1W 1D 2L
CR Belouizdad 3W 3D 0L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS El Biar at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

CR Belouizdad away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: JS El Biar at home only, CR Belouizdad away only.

JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: JS El Biar 0 · draws 0 · CR Belouizdad 1.

JS El BiarDrawsCR Belouizdad
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-05-13JS El Biar0-2CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Before and after this match