Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Prediction & Betting Tips 14/10/2026

Témouchent vs MB Rouisset preview

In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture on 2026-10-14, Témouchent has a 46% chance to win against MB Rouisset, who has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability. Témouchent's expected goals stand at 1.18, while MB Rouisset's is lower at 0.72.

While Témouchent shows stronger form, recent performances from MB Rouisset include two wins in their last three matches. This could lead to a different outcome than expected, especially considering the 37% chance for both teams to score and the 30% for Over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Témouchent vs MB Rouisset: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Témouchent	Draw	MB Rouisset
Model	43%	35%	23%
Market	—	—	—
Published	43%	35%	23%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.72.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Témouchent and MB Rouisset expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.09Témouchent

0.72MB Rouisset

Total expected goals: 1.81
Attack rating (Témouchent / MB Rouisset): 0.85 / 0.86
Defence rating (Témouchent / MB Rouisset): 0.95 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Témouchent vs MB Rouisset score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 17.6% 10.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 1 16.5% 14.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 2 9.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 3 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Témouchent goals. Columns: MB Rouisset goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Témouchent vs MB Rouisset goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 82%

Over 1.5 55%

Over 2.5 27%

Over 3.5 11%

Both teams to score: 35%
No goals (0–0): 18%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Témouchent vs MB Rouisset

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Témouchent	43%	2.34
	Draw	35%	2.90
	MB Rouisset	23%	4.38
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	27%	3.66
	Under 2.5	73%	1.38
Both teams to score	Yes	35%	2.82
	No	65%	1.55
Double chance	1X (Témouchent or draw)	77%	1.30
	12 (either side)	65%	1.53
	X2 (draw or MB Rouisset)	57%	1.74
Handicap -1	Témouchent win by 2+	18%	5.49
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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