MB Rouisset vs JS Saoura: model vs market
| Source | MB Rouisset | Draw | JS Saoura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
MB Rouisset and JS Saoura expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.73
- Attack rating (MB Rouisset / JS Saoura)
- 0.86 / 0.91
- Defence rating (MB Rouisset / JS Saoura)
- 0.94 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
MB Rouisset vs JS Saoura score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: MB Rouisset goals. Columns: JS Saoura goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
MB Rouisset vs JS Saoura goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for MB Rouisset vs JS Saoura
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MB Rouisset | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.94 | |
| JS Saoura | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.52 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (MB Rouisset or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or JS Saoura) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | MB Rouisset win by 2+ | 15% | 6.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
MB Rouisset and JS Saoura recent form
MB Rouisset
3W 0D 3L
JS Saoura
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
MB Rouisset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
JS Saoura away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: MB Rouisset at home only, JS Saoura away only.
MB Rouisset vs JS Saoura head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: MB Rouisset 2 · draws 0 · JS Saoura 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | MB Rouisset | 1-0 | JS Saoura | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-08-21 | JS Saoura | 1-2 | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- CR Belouizdad v Olympique Akbou — match page 2026-10-16
- MC Alger vs ES Setif — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- MC Oran vs Khenchela 2026-10-16
- CS Constantine v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-16
- JS Kabylie vs US Biskra — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Témouchent vs ASO Chlef 2026-10-16
- Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- MB Rouisset, previous: Témouchent v MB Rouisset analysis
- JS Saoura, previous: USM Alger vs JS Saoura: odds and pick