Témouchent vs ASO Chlef Prediction & Betting Tips 16/10/2026

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Témouchent	Draw	ASO Chlef
Model	56%	28%	15%
Market	—	—	—
Published	56%	28%	15%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.61.
Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Témouchent and ASO Chlef expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.47Témouchent

0.61ASO Chlef

Total expected goals: 2.08
Attack rating (Témouchent / ASO Chlef): 0.85 / 0.73
Defence rating (Témouchent / ASO Chlef): 0.95 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.6% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 1 17.3% 12.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 2 13.6% 8.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 3 6.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 3.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Témouchent goals. Columns: ASO Chlef goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Témouchent vs ASO Chlef goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%

Over 1.5 63%

Over 2.5 35%

Over 3.5 16%

Both teams to score: 39%
No goals (0–0): 14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Témouchent vs ASO Chlef

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Témouchent	56%	1.79
	Draw	28%	3.51
	ASO Chlef	15%	6.46
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	37%	2.72
	Under 2.5	63%	1.58
Both teams to score	Yes	39%	2.57
	No	61%	1.64
Double chance	1X (Témouchent or draw)	85%	1.18
	12 (either side)	72%	1.40
	X2 (draw or ASO Chlef)	44%	2.27
Handicap -1	Témouchent win by 2+	30%	3.29
	Push (exactly one goal)	27%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Témouchent and ASO Chlef recent form

Témouchent 1W 1D 1L

ASO Chlef 0W 1D 5L

Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Témouchent at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-1-0
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 0.50
Clean sheets: 1 of 2

ASO Chlef away

Record (W-D-L): 0-0-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.00
Goals against / match: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Témouchent at home only, ASO Chlef away only.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

CR Belouizdad v Olympique Akbou — match page 2026-10-16
MC Alger vs ES Setif — team news & stats 2026-10-16
MC Oran vs Khenchela 2026-10-16
CS Constantine v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-16
JS Kabylie vs US Biskra — team news & stats 2026-10-16
MB Rouisset v JS Saoura — match page 2026-10-16
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger — team news & stats 2026-10-16

Before and after this match

Témouchent, previous: Témouchent v MB Rouisset analysis
ASO Chlef, previous: ASO Chlef v MC Alger analysis