Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 6Postponed

JS Kabylie vs US Biskra

· Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

Alin prediction JS Kabylie to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS KabylieDrawUS Biskra

JS Kabylie vs US Biskra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS KabylieDrawUS Biskra
Model71%21%8%
Market———
Published71%21%8%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.50.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS Kabylie and US Biskra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.91JS Kabylie
0.50US Biskra
Total expected goals
2.41
Attack rating (JS Kabylie / US Biskra)
1.10 / 0.72
Defence rating (JS Kabylie / US Biskra)
0.78 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Kabylie vs US Biskra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 1 16.4% 9.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 2 16.4% 8.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 3 10.5% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 7.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: JS Kabylie goals. Columns: US Biskra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Kabylie vs US Biskra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
38%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Kabylie vs US Biskra

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Kabylie71%1.41
Draw21%4.79
US Biskra8%11.82
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547%2.12
Under 2.553%1.89
Both teams to scoreYes38%2.63
No62%1.61
Double chance1X (JS Kabylie or draw)92%1.09
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or US Biskra)29%3.41
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win by 2+45%2.24
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

JS Kabylie and US Biskra recent form

JS Kabylie 4W 1D 1L
US Biskra 0W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS Kabylie at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2

US Biskra away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Kabylie at home only, US Biskra away only.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match