Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 5

US Biskra vs MC Oran

· 18 February Stadium, Biskra

Full time0 – 1

Alin prediction was US Biskra to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
US BiskraDrawMC Oran

US Biskra vs MC Oran: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceUS BiskraDrawMC Oran
Model25%32%43%
Market40%34%26%
Published36%34%30%
Edge-4%0%+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

US Biskra vs MC Oran odds movement

Median bookmaker price on US Biskra, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 2.17Now 2.29 +0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
US Biskra2.172.29+0.12
Draw2.732.66-0.07
MC Oran3.703.45-0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

US Biskra and MC Oran expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.85US Biskra
1.21MC Oran
Total expected goals
2.05
Attack rating (US Biskra / MC Oran)
0.72 / 1.07
Defence rating (US Biskra / MC Oran)
1.27 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

US Biskra vs MC Oran score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.2% 14.2% 9.3% 3.8% 1.5% 1 9.6% 14.4% 7.9% 3.2% 1.2% 2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 3 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: US Biskra goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

US Biskra vs MC Oran goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 34%
Over 3.5 15%
Both teams to score
41%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for US Biskra vs MC Oran

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2US Biskra36%2.79
Draw34%2.97
MC Oran30%3.28
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.97
Under 2.566%1.51
Both teams to scoreYes41%2.42
No59%1.70
Double chance1X (US Biskra or draw)70%1.44
12 (either side)66%1.51
X2 (draw or MC Oran)64%1.56
Handicap -1US Biskra win by 2+8%11.86
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

US Biskra and MC Oran recent form

US Biskra 0W 2D 2L
MC Oran 3W 2D 1L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

US Biskra at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

MC Oran away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: US Biskra at home only, MC Oran away only.

US Biskra vs MC Oran head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: US Biskra 4 · draws 3 · MC Oran 3.

US BiskraDrawsMC Oran
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-05-26US Biskra0-2MC OranLigue 1
2024-12-08MC Oran1-0US BiskraLigue 1
2024-05-11US Biskra0-0MC OranLigue 1
2024-03-30US Biskra1-0MC OranCoupe Nationale
2023-12-16MC Oran0-1US BiskraLigue 1
2023-07-15US Biskra2-1MC OranLigue 1
2022-12-24MC Oran1-0US BiskraLigue 1
2022-04-13US Biskra2-2MC OranLigue 1
2021-12-17MC Oran2-2US BiskraLigue 1
2021-07-17US Biskra1-0MC OranLigue 1

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Before and after this match