US Biskra vs MC Oran Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

US Biskra vs MC Oran: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	US Biskra	Draw	MC Oran
Model	35%	34%	32%
Market	—	—	—
Published	35%	34%	32%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

US Biskra and MC Oran expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.03US Biskra

0.97MC Oran

Total expected goals: 2.00
Attack rating (US Biskra / MC Oran): 0.82 / 1.15
Defence rating (US Biskra / MC Oran): 0.93 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

US Biskra vs MC Oran score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.9% 11.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.6% 1 12.6% 14.9% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6% 2 7.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 3 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: US Biskra goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

US Biskra vs MC Oran goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 85%

Over 1.5 61%

Over 2.5 32%

Over 3.5 14%

Both teams to score: 41%
No goals (0–0): 15%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for US Biskra vs MC Oran

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	US Biskra	35%	2.86
	Draw	34%	2.98
	MC Oran	32%	3.17
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	32%	3.09
	Under 2.5	68%	1.48
Both teams to score	Yes	41%	2.42
	No	59%	1.70
Double chance	1X (US Biskra or draw)	68%	1.46
	12 (either side)	66%	1.50
	X2 (draw or MC Oran)	65%	1.54
Handicap -1	US Biskra win by 2+	14%	7.11
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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