Khenchela vs CS Constantine Prediction & Betting Tips 12/10/2026

Khenchela vs CS Constantine: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Khenchela	Draw	CS Constantine
Model	60%	22%	18%
Market	—	—	—
Published	60%	22%	18%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.07.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Khenchela and CS Constantine expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.09Khenchela

1.07CS Constantine

Total expected goals: 3.16
Attack rating (Khenchela / CS Constantine): 1.08 / 1.19
Defence rating (Khenchela / CS Constantine): 1.00 / 1.42

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Khenchela vs CS Constantine score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1 7.9% 10.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.6% 2 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 3 6.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 4+ 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4%

Rows: Khenchela goals. Columns: CS Constantine goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Khenchela vs CS Constantine goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 39%

Both teams to score: 58%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Khenchela vs CS Constantine

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Khenchela	60%	1.67
	Draw	22%	4.45
	CS Constantine	18%	5.66
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.64
	Under 2.5	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	Yes	58%	1.71
	No	42%	2.41
Double chance	1X (Khenchela or draw)	82%	1.21
	12 (either side)	78%	1.29
	X2 (draw or CS Constantine)	40%	2.49
Handicap -1	Khenchela win by 2+	38%	2.66
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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