Khenchela vs CS Constantine: model vs market
| Source | Khenchela | Draw | CS Constantine |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Published | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Khenchela below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Khenchela, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khenchela | 2.52 | 2.50 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 2.93 | 2.95 | +0.02 |
| CS Constantine | 2.70 | 2.68 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Khenchela and CS Constantine expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Khenchela / CS Constantine)
- 0.95 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Khenchela / CS Constantine)
- 0.98 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Khenchela goals. Columns: CS Constantine goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Khenchela vs CS Constantine
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| CS Constantine | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Khenchela or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Constantine) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Khenchela win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Khenchela and CS Constantine recent form
Khenchela
2W 3D 1L
CS Constantine
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Khenchela at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
CS Constantine away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Khenchela at home only, CS Constantine away only.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Khenchela 1 · draws 3 · CS Constantine 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | CS Constantine | 2-2 | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Khenchela | 0-0 | CS Constantine | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-06-03 | CS Constantine | 2-1 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-15 | Khenchela | 1-0 | CS Constantine | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-19 | Khenchela | 1-2 | CS Constantine | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-01 | CS Constantine | 2-0 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-06-26 | CS Constantine | 7-0 | Khenchela | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-05-12 | CS Constantine | 3-0 | Khenchela | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-02-10 | Khenchela | 1-1 | CS Constantine | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-08-26 | CS Constantine | 3-1 | Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- JS El Biar vs CR Belouizdad 2026-10-12
- US Biskra v MC Oran — match page 2026-10-13
- ASO Chlef vs MC Alger — team news & stats 2026-10-13
- USM Alger vs JS Saoura 2026-10-13
- ES Setif vs JS Kabylie — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Témouchent vs MB Rouisset 2026-10-14
- Olympique Akbou v Ben Aknoun — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Khenchela, next: MC Oran – Khenchela, 2026-10-17
- CS Constantine, next: CS Constantine v JS El Biar analysis