Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club

· Antonio Candini, Rio Cuarto· Referee Felipe Viola

Full time1 – 2

Alin prediction was Racing Club to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoDrawRacing Club

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEstudiantes de Rio CuartoDrawRacing Club
Model25%28%46%
Market23%31%46%
Published23%30%46%
Edge+3%-3%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.06.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Racing Club, 18 snapshots since 2026-09-26.

Opened 2.10Now 2.03 -0.07
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.934.10+0.17
Draw3.003.02+0.02
Racing Club2.102.03-0.07

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Racing Club expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.06Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1.52Racing Club
Total expected goals
2.58
Attack rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Racing Club)
0.63 / 1.32
Defence rating (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto / Racing Club)
1.29 / 1.47

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.8% 10.3% 8.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1 6.8% 13.4% 9.3% 4.7% 2.5% 2 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 1.3% 3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 4+ 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%

Rows: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto goals. Columns: Racing Club goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 48%
Over 3.5 26%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto23%4.26
Draw30%3.30
Racing Club46%2.16
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548%2.10
Under 2.552%1.91
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.91
No48%2.10
Double chance1X (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw)54%1.86
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or Racing Club)77%1.31
Handicap -1Racing Club win by 2+24%4.15
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Racing Club recent form

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0W 2D 4L
Racing Club 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Win rate
15%
Goals for / match
0.38
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
5 of 13
  • They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 26 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Club away

Record (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Win rate
27%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.13
Clean sheets
6 of 15
  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home only, Racing Club away only.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Racing Club head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · draws 0 · Racing Club 1.

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoDrawsRacing Club
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-16Racing Club2-0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina

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