Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba

· Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba· Referee Facundo Tello

Full time0 – 1

Alin prediction was Belgrano Cordoba to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Talleres CordobaDrawBelgrano Cordoba

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTalleres CordobaDrawBelgrano Cordoba
Model25%29%46%
Market36%31%33%
Published33%31%36%
Edge-11%-2%+13%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.98.
  • The market prices Belgrano Cordoba below the model: +12.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Belgrano Cordoba, 28 snapshots since 2026-09-21.

Opened 2.80Now 2.88 +0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Talleres Cordoba2.772.63-0.14
Draw2.872.99+0.12
Belgrano Cordoba2.802.88+0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Talleres Cordoba and Belgrano Cordoba expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.98Talleres Cordoba
1.41Belgrano Cordoba
Total expected goals
2.39
Attack rating (Talleres Cordoba / Belgrano Cordoba)
0.97 / 1.11
Defence rating (Talleres Cordoba / Belgrano Cordoba)
1.43 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.4% 11.6% 9.1% 4.3% 2.0% 1 7.7% 13.9% 8.9% 4.2% 2.0% 2 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 4+ 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Talleres Cordoba goals. Columns: Belgrano Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Talleres Cordoba33%3.02
Draw31%3.23
Belgrano Cordoba36%2.78
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543%2.33
Under 2.557%1.75
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.06
No51%1.94
Double chance1X (Talleres Cordoba or draw)64%1.56
12 (either side)69%1.45
X2 (draw or Belgrano Cordoba)67%1.49
Handicap -1Belgrano Cordoba win by 2+23%4.41
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Talleres Cordoba and Belgrano Cordoba recent form

Talleres Cordoba 1W 2D 3L
Belgrano Cordoba 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Talleres Cordoba at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-3-5
Win rate
38%
Goals for / match
1.08
Goals against / match
1.15
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.

Belgrano Cordoba away

Record (W-D-L)
6-7-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
0.93
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
8 of 15
  • They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Talleres Cordoba at home only, Belgrano Cordoba away only.

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Talleres Cordoba 2 · draws 7 · Belgrano Cordoba 1.

Talleres CordobaDrawsBelgrano Cordoba
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Talleres Cordoba0-1Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2026-03-15Belgrano Cordoba0-0Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-10-05Talleres Cordoba0-0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-03-30Belgrano Cordoba1-1Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-10-06Talleres Cordoba0-0Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-02-24Belgrano Cordoba2-2Talleres CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-10-01Talleres Cordoba0-0Belgrano CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-05-21Belgrano Cordoba1-1Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
2023-01-21Belgrano Cordoba0-3Talleres CordobaFriendlies Clubs
2023-01-21Talleres Cordoba3-0Belgrano CordobaFriendlies Clubs

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