Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11

Huracan vs Aldosivi

· Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires· Referee Nazareno Arasa

Full time1 – 0

Alin prediction was Huracan to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
HuracanDrawAldosivi

Huracan vs Aldosivi: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHuracanDrawAldosivi
Model53%26%21%
Market56%28%17%
Published55%27%18%
Edge-2%-2%+4%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.99.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Huracan vs Aldosivi odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Huracan, 28 snapshots since 2026-09-21.

Opened 1.58Now 1.70 +0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Huracan1.581.70+0.12
Draw3.503.40-0.10
Aldosivi6.955.65-1.30

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Huracan and Aldosivi expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.72Huracan
0.99Aldosivi
Total expected goals
2.70
Attack rating (Huracan / Aldosivi)
1.02 / 1.22
Defence rating (Huracan / Aldosivi)
0.92 / 1.47

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Huracan vs Aldosivi score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 1 10.3% 12.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.6% 2 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 3 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Huracan goals. Columns: Aldosivi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Huracan vs Aldosivi goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
53%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Huracan vs Aldosivi

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Huracan55%1.82
Draw27%3.66
Aldosivi18%5.66
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.97
Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to scoreYes53%1.90
No47%2.11
Double chance1X (Huracan or draw)82%1.21
12 (either side)73%1.38
X2 (draw or Aldosivi)45%2.22
Handicap -1Huracan win by 2+30%3.33
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Huracan and Aldosivi recent form

Huracan 2W 3D 1L
Aldosivi 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Huracan at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-4-3
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
1.15
Goals against / match
0.77
Clean sheets
6 of 13
  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aldosivi away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-11
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.69
Goals against / match
1.85
Clean sheets
0 of 13
  • They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Huracan at home only, Aldosivi away only.

Huracan vs Aldosivi head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Huracan 4 · draws 2 · Aldosivi 3.

HuracanDrawsAldosivi
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-16Aldosivi0-0HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-10-12Aldosivi2-0HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-04-05Huracan3-3AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-08-07Aldosivi0-1HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-04-26Aldosivi0-2HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2021-09-04Huracan2-0AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
2020-02-15Huracan0-2AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
2018-08-19Aldosivi2-1HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
2017-05-07Aldosivi0-3HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures