Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba preview
Chaco For Ever faces Racing Cordoba with a 69% probability of winning, while Racing has just a 9% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.91 for Chaco For Ever and only 0.56 for Racing Cordoba.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Factors that could affect the outcome include Chaco For Ever's recent form of W-L-W-D-L-W against Racing Cordoba's L-W-D-D-L-L. Additionally, while there's a 45% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance for both teams to score, these outcomes are less likely given the expected goals.
Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Racing Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Published | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Edge | +4% | -2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chaco For Ever below our published probability: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chaco For Ever, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaco For Ever | 1.74 | 1.70 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.27 | +0.07 |
| Racing Cordoba | 5.00 | 5.03 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Chaco For Ever / Racing Cordoba)
- 1.38 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Chaco For Ever / Racing Cordoba)
- 0.88 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chaco For Ever goals. Columns: Racing Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Racing Cordoba | 16% | 6.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.68 |
| No | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chaco For Ever or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Racing Cordoba) | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win by 2+ | 46% | 2.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chaco For Ever and Racing Cordoba recent form
Chaco For Ever
3W 1D 2L
Racing Cordoba
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chaco For Ever at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-5
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Racing Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-11
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.47
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 17
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Chaco For Ever at home only, Racing Cordoba away only.
Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Chaco For Ever 0 · draws 0 · Racing Cordoba 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Racing Cordoba | 2-0 | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
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- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats 2026-10-31
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- Gimnasia Y Tiro v Quilmes — match page 2026-10-31
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Before and after this match
- Chaco For Ever, previous: Ferro Carril Oeste v Chaco For Ever analysis
- Racing Cordoba, previous: Racing Cordoba vs All Boys prediction