Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown preview
In the match between Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown, Godoy Cruz has a strong 71% probability to win, while Almirante Brown stands at just 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Godoy Cruz's expected goals of 2.42 compared to Almirante Brown's 0.85.
However, the recent form shows Godoy Cruz has been inconsistent with a record of W-D-W-D-W-W, while Almirante Brown has struggled, managing only D-D-L-L-L-D. This could impact the match outcome, as Almirante Brown may find a way to perform better than expected. Additionally, both teams to score sits at 53%, indicating a chance that Almirante Brown could find the net.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown: model vs market
| Source | Godoy Cruz | Draw | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (Godoy Cruz / Almirante Brown)
- 2.07 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Godoy Cruz / Almirante Brown)
- 1.05 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Godoy Cruz goals. Columns: Almirante Brown goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Godoy Cruz | 70% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.24 | |
| Almirante Brown | 10% | 9.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Godoy Cruz or draw) | 90% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Almirante Brown) | 30% | 3.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Godoy Cruz win by 2+ | 48% | 2.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown recent form
Godoy Cruz
4W 2D 0L
Almirante Brown
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Godoy Cruz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-4-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 17 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almirante Brown away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-7
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 17
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Godoy Cruz at home only, Almirante Brown away only.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Godoy Cruz 0 · draws 0 · Almirante Brown 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Almirante Brown | 1-0 | Godoy Cruz | Primera Nacional |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page 2026-10-31
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy 2026-10-31
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page 2026-10-31
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato 2026-10-31
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page 2026-10-31
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Godoy Cruz, previous: Atletico Mitre – Godoy Cruz, 2026-10-25
- Almirante Brown, previous: Almirante Brown v Deportivo Moron analysis