San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy preview
In the Primera Nacional fixture, San Martin S.J. has a 52% chance to win against Gimnasia Jujuy, who has a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.72 for San Martin S.J. and 1.05 for Gimnasia Jujuy.
Both teams to score stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 52%. San Martin S.J. is struggling with recent form, recording three draws and two losses in their last five matches. Gimnasia Jujuy shows slightly better form with one win and two draws in their last five. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy: model vs market
| Source | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.05.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (San Martin S.J. / Gimnasia Jujuy)
- 1.06 / 1.34
- Defence rating (San Martin S.J. / Gimnasia Jujuy)
- 1.08 / 1.41
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: San Martin S.J. goals. Columns: Gimnasia Jujuy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (San Martin S.J. or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Gimnasia Jujuy) | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win by 2+ | 29% | 3.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form
San Martin S.J.
1W 3D 2L
Gimnasia Jujuy
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
San Martin S.J. at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-6-3
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Gimnasia Jujuy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.59
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: San Martin S.J. at home only, Gimnasia Jujuy away only.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: San Martin S.J. 0 · draws 1 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2-1 | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| 2025-03-26 | San Martin S.J. | 0-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Copa Argentina |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
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- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page 2026-10-31
- Atlanta v Midland — match page 2026-10-31
- Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste 2026-10-31
- Club Atlético Güemes v Temperley — match page 2026-10-31
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page 2026-10-31
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- San Martin S.J., previous: Nueva Chicago v San Martin S.J. analysis
- Gimnasia Jujuy, previous: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta: odds and pick