Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley preview
In the fixture between Club Atlético Güemes and Temperley, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for Temperley at 67%, compared to Güemes at 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 14% probability. Temperley has a stronger expected goals figure at 1.60, while Güemes stands at 0.75, indicating a potential struggle for the home side to find the net.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Club Atlético Güemes improves their form, currently showing 1 win in their last 6 matches. Both teams to score has a 43% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 42%, suggesting that while a low-scoring match is expected, surprises can happen.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley: model vs market
| Source | Club Atlético Güemes | Draw | Temperley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 27% | 57% |
| Market | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| Published | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Edge | +2% | +2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Club Atlético Güemes and Temperley expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.35
- Attack rating (Club Atlético Güemes / Temperley)
- 0.70 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Club Atlético Güemes / Temperley)
- 1.67 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Atlético Güemes goals. Columns: Temperley goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Atlético Güemes | 11% | 8.95 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Temperley | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Atlético Güemes or draw) | 33% | 3.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Temperley) | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Temperley win by 2+ | 31% | 3.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Atlético Güemes and Temperley recent form
Club Atlético Güemes
1W 0D 5L
Temperley
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Atlético Güemes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-9
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
Temperley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-9-4
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 0.53
- Goals against / match
- 0.53
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 17
- They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Atlético Güemes at home only, Temperley away only.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Club Atlético Güemes 0 · draws 0 · Temperley 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Temperley | 4-1 | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
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- Atlanta v Midland — match page 2026-10-31
- Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats 2026-10-31
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- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page 2026-10-31
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Before and after this match
- Club Atlético Güemes, previous: Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes: odds and pick
- Temperley, previous: Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors prediction