Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre preview
In the fixture between Los Andes and Atletico Mitre, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a 39% chance for Los Andes to win, compared to 25% for Atletico Mitre. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability. Los Andes has scored an expected 0.99 goals, while Atletico Mitre has an expected 0.75 goals, suggesting a tight match.
While both teams to score has a 35% likelihood, the low expected goals for both sides indicates that goals may be hard to come by. Additionally, Los Andes' recent form shows 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, which could affect their performance. Atletico Mitre's form includes 2 wins and 4 losses in the same period, adding to the uncertainty.
Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre: model vs market
| Source | Los Andes | Draw | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 36% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 36% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Los Andes and Atletico Mitre expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.74
- Attack rating (Los Andes / Atletico Mitre)
- 0.78 / 0.84
- Defence rating (Los Andes / Atletico Mitre)
- 1.23 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Los Andes goals. Columns: Atletico Mitre goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Andes | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Atletico Mitre | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.89 |
| No | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Los Andes or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Mitre) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Andes win by 2+ | 15% | 6.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Los Andes and Atletico Mitre recent form
Los Andes
1W 2D 3L
Atletico Mitre
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Los Andes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-9-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 0.53
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 17
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Mitre away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-8-6
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.24
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Los Andes at home only, Atletico Mitre away only.
Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Los Andes 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Mitre 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Atletico Mitre | 0-3 | Los Andes | Primera Nacional |
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Before and after this match
- Los Andes, previous: CA Estudiantes – Los Andes, 2026-10-25
- Atletico Mitre, previous: Atletico Mitre – Godoy Cruz, 2026-10-25