Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck preview
In the upcoming match between Admira Wacker and Wacker Innsbruck, the 1X2 probabilities show Admira Wacker at 38%, while both a draw and Wacker Innsbruck sit at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Admira Wacker has an expected goals figure of 1.25, compared to Wacker Innsbruck's 1.10.
While the model suggests a lower chance for Over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%, factors like recent form could influence the outcome. Admira Wacker's recent results include three wins and two losses, while Wacker Innsbruck has two wins, two draws, and a loss. This could lead to a different match dynamic than anticipated.
Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck: model vs market
| Source | Admira Wacker | Draw | Wacker Innsbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Published | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Admira Wacker, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Admira Wacker | 2.24 | 2.17 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.50 | -0.14 |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 2.74 | 2.88 | +0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Admira Wacker and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Admira Wacker / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 0.94 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Admira Wacker / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 0.85 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Admira Wacker goals. Columns: Wacker Innsbruck goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Admira Wacker | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Admira Wacker or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Wacker Innsbruck) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Admira Wacker win by 2+ | 17% | 5.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Admira Wacker and Wacker Innsbruck recent form
Admira Wacker
4W 0D 2L
Wacker Innsbruck
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Admira Wacker at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wacker Innsbruck away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Admira Wacker at home only, Wacker Innsbruck away only.
Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Admira Wacker 6 · draws 2 · Wacker Innsbruck 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-18 | Admira Wacker | 3-2 | Wacker Innsbruck | Bundesliga |
| 2019-04-13 | Wacker Innsbruck | 1-3 | Admira Wacker | Bundesliga |
| 2019-02-23 | Admira Wacker | 3-0 | Wacker Innsbruck | Bundesliga |
| 2018-09-23 | Wacker Innsbruck | 1-3 | Admira Wacker | Bundesliga |
| 2014-03-25 | Wacker Innsbruck | 0-0 | Admira Wacker | Bundesliga |
| 2013-12-14 | Admira Wacker | 3-0 | Wacker Innsbruck | Bundesliga |
| 2013-10-05 | Wacker Innsbruck | 3-3 | Admira Wacker | Bundesliga |
| 2013-07-27 | Admira Wacker | 1-2 | Wacker Innsbruck | Bundesliga |
| 2013-04-13 | Admira Wacker | 4-3 | Wacker Innsbruck | Bundesliga |
| 2012-12-15 | Wacker Innsbruck | 3-1 | Admira Wacker | Bundesliga |
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Before and after this match
- Admira Wacker, previous: Floridsdorfer AC vs Admira Wacker prediction
- Wacker Innsbruck, previous: Wacker Innsbruck – Austria Salzburg, 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck, next: Wacker Innsbruck – WSG Wattens, 2026-10-28