FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz preview
In the upcoming match between FC Liefering and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Liefering at 48%, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. With FC Liefering's expected goals at 1.85 and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 1.33, there is a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 63%.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. FC Liefering has won 2 of their last 5 matches, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has only managed 1 win in their last 5 games. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results, despite the statistical edge for FC Liefering.
FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: model vs market
| Source | FC Liefering | Draw | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Liefering, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Liefering | 2.35 | 2.38 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.66 | +0.02 |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2.60 | 2.54 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Liefering and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.30
- Attack rating (FC Liefering / Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
- 1.33 / 0.88
- Defence rating (FC Liefering / Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz)
- 1.34 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Liefering goals. Columns: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Liefering | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Liefering or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Liefering win by 2+ | 24% | 4.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Liefering and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz recent form
FC Liefering
3W 0D 3L
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Liefering at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Liefering at home only, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away only.
FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Liefering 4 · draws 3 · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | FC Liefering | 4-3 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-31 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2-2 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2025-03-01 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2-0 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2024-08-16 | FC Liefering | 2-2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| 2024-03-08 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 1-1 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2023-08-18 | FC Liefering | 2-1 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| 2013-03-23 | FC Liefering | 3-2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Regionalliga - West |
| 2012-08-11 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 3-1 | FC Liefering | Regionalliga - West |
| 2012-03-31 | FC Liefering | 3-1 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Regionalliga - West |
| 2011-08-15 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 3-2 | FC Liefering | Regionalliga - West |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-23
- Austria Vienna (Am) v Sturm Graz II — match page 2026-10-23
- First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg 2026-10-23
- Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz 2026-10-23
- Admira Wacker v Wacker Innsbruck — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- FC Liefering, previous: FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering: odds and pick
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, previous: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz v SKU Amstetten analysis
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, next: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Red Bull Salzburg, 2026-10-28