Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 10

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II

· Ertl Glas Stadion, Amstetten

Alin prediction SKU Amstetten to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
SKU AmstettenDrawRapid Wien II
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.94.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SKU Amstetten is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
SKU Amstetten1.53 Draw4.60 Rapid Wien II5.51

Price as of

Expected return at 1.53: -5.3% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II preview

SKU Amstetten faces Rapid Wien II with a 63% chance of winning, while Rapid Wien II has only a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which reflects SKU Amstetten's expected goals of 2.14 compared to Rapid Wien II's 0.94.

SKU Amstetten's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Rapid Wien II has lost 5 straight games. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 59% and both teams to score at 55%. However, Rapid Wien II's poor form could lead to a lower-scoring match than expected.

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSKU AmstettenDrawRapid Wien II
Model64%22%15%
Market61%21%18%
Published62%21%17%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SKU Amstetten, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-18.

Opened 1.46Now 1.49 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
SKU Amstetten1.461.49+0.03
Draw4.604.39-0.21
Rapid Wien II5.405.05-0.35

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.14SKU Amstetten
0.94Rapid Wien II
Total expected goals
3.08
Attack rating (SKU Amstetten / Rapid Wien II)
1.08 / 0.73
Defence rating (SKU Amstetten / Rapid Wien II)
1.00 / 1.32

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 1 8.9% 10.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 2 10.5% 9.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 3 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Rows: SKU Amstetten goals. Columns: Rapid Wien II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2SKU Amstetten62%1.62
Draw21%4.77
Rapid Wien II17%5.82
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.68
Under 2.541%2.47
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.21
Double chance1X (SKU Amstetten or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Rapid Wien II)38%2.62
Handicap -1SKU Amstetten win by 2+41%2.43
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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SKU Amstetten and Rapid Wien II recent form

SKU Amstetten 2W 3D 1L
Rapid Wien II 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

SKU Amstetten at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.

Rapid Wien II away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: SKU Amstetten at home only, Rapid Wien II away only.

SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: SKU Amstetten 3 · draws 3 · Rapid Wien II 3.

SKU AmstettenDrawsRapid Wien II
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-13Rapid Wien II4-1SKU Amstetten2. Liga
2025-09-12SKU Amstetten3-1Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2025-03-28SKU Amstetten2-2Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2024-10-01Rapid Wien II1-0SKU Amstetten2. Liga
2024-01-27SKU Amstetten4-1Rapid Wien IIFriendlies Clubs
2023-03-31SKU Amstetten0-0Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2022-08-13Rapid Wien II2-2SKU Amstetten2. Liga
2022-05-22Rapid Wien II5-2SKU Amstetten2. Liga
2021-11-19SKU Amstetten5-2Rapid Wien II2. Liga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot SKU Amstetten to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on SKU Amstetten
Our pick: SKU Amstetten to win 18+ Bet Now