WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg preview
WSPG Wels faces Voitsberg with a 1X2 probability of 33% for WSPG Wels, 24% for a draw, and 43% for Voitsberg. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 7% chance according to our model. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals is 70%, while both teams to score stands at 71%.
WSPG Wels has expected goals of 1.92, compared to Voitsberg's 1.71. Recent form shows WSPG Wels with a record of D-W-L-L-W-L, while Voitsberg has L-L-W-D-L-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like unexpected defensive performances or goalkeeping errors could impact the expected results.
WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg: model vs market
| Source | WSPG Wels | Draw | Voitsberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Published | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Voitsberg, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSPG Wels | 3.11 | 2.71 | -0.40 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.62 | -0.12 |
| Voitsberg | 2.02 | 2.25 | +0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
WSPG Wels and Voitsberg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.64
- Attack rating (WSPG Wels / Voitsberg)
- 0.92 / 1.14
- Defence rating (WSPG Wels / Voitsberg)
- 1.17 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: WSPG Wels goals. Columns: Voitsberg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Voitsberg | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (WSPG Wels or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Voitsberg) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Voitsberg win by 2+ | 18% | 5.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
WSPG Wels and Voitsberg recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
WSPG Wels at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Voitsberg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: WSPG Wels at home only, Voitsberg away only.
WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: WSPG Wels 0 · draws 0 · Voitsberg 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | Voitsberg | 2-0 | WSPG Wels | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| 2023-11-03 | WSPG Wels | 2-3 | Voitsberg | Regionalliga - Mitte |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-23
- Austria Vienna (Am) v Sturm Graz II — match page 2026-10-23
- First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz 2026-10-23
- Admira Wacker v Wacker Innsbruck — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- WSPG Wels, previous: Austria Vienna (Am) v WSPG Wels analysis
- WSPG Wels, next: WSPG Wels v Wolfsberger AC analysis
- Voitsberg, previous: Voitsberg vs First Vienna: odds and pick