Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 10

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg

· Huber-Arena, Wels

Alin prediction Voitsberg to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
WSPG WelsDrawVoitsberg
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Voitsberg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
WSPG Wels2.82 Draw3.80 Voitsberg2.34

Price as of

Expected return at 2.34: -8.4% per unit staked

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg preview

WSPG Wels faces Voitsberg with a 1X2 probability of 33% for WSPG Wels, 24% for a draw, and 43% for Voitsberg. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 7% chance according to our model. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals is 70%, while both teams to score stands at 71%.

WSPG Wels has expected goals of 1.92, compared to Voitsberg's 1.71. Recent form shows WSPG Wels with a record of D-W-L-L-W-L, while Voitsberg has L-L-W-D-L-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like unexpected defensive performances or goalkeeping errors could impact the expected results.

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceWSPG WelsDrawVoitsberg
Model42%23%34%
Market34%25%41%
Published36%25%39%
Edge+2%0%-2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Voitsberg, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 2.02Now 2.25 +0.23
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
WSPG Wels3.112.71-0.40
Draw3.753.62-0.12
Voitsberg2.022.25+0.23

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

WSPG Wels and Voitsberg expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.92WSPG Wels
1.72Voitsberg
Total expected goals
3.64
Attack rating (WSPG Wels / Voitsberg)
0.92 / 1.14
Defence rating (WSPG Wels / Voitsberg)
1.17 / 1.38

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 1 4.2% 9.5% 7.5% 4.3% 2.7% 2 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 2.6% 3 3.1% 5.3% 4.6% 2.6% 1.7% 4+ 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 1.2%

Rows: WSPG Wels goals. Columns: Voitsberg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
71%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2WSPG Wels36%2.78
Draw25%4.02
Voitsberg39%2.55
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.42
Under 2.530%3.38
Both teams to scoreYes71%1.41
No29%3.44
Double chance1X (WSPG Wels or draw)61%1.64
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Voitsberg)64%1.56
Handicap -1Voitsberg win by 2+18%5.66
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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WSPG Wels and Voitsberg recent form

WSPG Wels 2W 1D 3L
Voitsberg 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

WSPG Wels at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Voitsberg away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

League matches this season before kick-off: WSPG Wels at home only, Voitsberg away only.

WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: WSPG Wels 0 · draws 0 · Voitsberg 2.

WSPG WelsDrawsVoitsberg
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-06-07Voitsberg2-0WSPG WelsRegionalliga - Mitte
2023-11-03WSPG Wels2-3VoitsbergRegionalliga - Mitte

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Voitsberg to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Voitsberg