Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz preview
In the upcoming match between Austria Salzburg and FC BW Linz, the 1X2 probabilities show FC BW Linz at 50%, while Austria Salzburg sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.44 for Austria Salzburg and 2.02 for FC BW Linz.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 67%, indicating a strong chance for an action-packed game. However, Austria Salzburg's recent form, with 3 losses in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance. Meanwhile, FC BW Linz has shown better form with 4 wins in their last 6 games, which could lead to an unexpected outcome.
Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz: model vs market
| Source | Austria Salzburg | Draw | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Austria Salzburg and FC BW Linz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Austria Salzburg / FC BW Linz)
- 1.18 / 1.59
- Defence rating (Austria Salzburg / FC BW Linz)
- 1.07 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Austria Salzburg goals. Columns: FC BW Linz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Salzburg | 25% | 4.05 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 | |
| FC BW Linz | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Austria Salzburg or draw) | 47% | 2.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or FC BW Linz) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC BW Linz win by 2+ | 33% | 3.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Austria Salzburg and FC BW Linz recent form
Austria Salzburg
2W 1D 3L
FC BW Linz
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Austria Salzburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC BW Linz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Salzburg at home only, FC BW Linz away only.
Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Austria Salzburg 1 · draws 0 · FC BW Linz 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-07-16 | Austria Salzburg | 2-0 | FC BW Linz | Cup |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-23
- Austria Vienna (Am) v Sturm Graz II — match page 2026-10-23
- First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg 2026-10-23
- Admira Wacker v Wacker Innsbruck — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Liefering vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Austria Salzburg, previous: Wacker Innsbruck – Austria Salzburg, 2026-10-16
- FC BW Linz, previous: FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering: odds and pick