Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 10

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC

· Hohe Warte Stadium, Vienna

Alin prediction First Vienna to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
First ViennaDrawFloridsdorfer AC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — First Vienna is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
First Vienna1.70 Draw4.02 Floridsdorfer AC5.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.70: -3.1% per unit staked

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC preview

In the upcoming match between First Vienna and Floridsdorfer AC, the 1X2 probabilities show First Vienna at 58%, while Floridsdorfer AC sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 10% probability. First Vienna has been in strong recent form, winning their last 6 matches, while Floridsdorfer AC has a mixed record with 3 wins in their last 6.

The expected goals indicate First Vienna at 1.89 and Floridsdorfer AC at 0.95, suggesting a potential for Over 2.5 goals at 54%. However, the recent head-to-head results are even, with each team winning once in their last 2 meetings. This could lead to an unexpected outcome if Floridsdorfer AC performs better than anticipated.

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFirst ViennaDrawFloridsdorfer AC
Model62%23%15%
Market55%25%20%
Published57%24%19%
Edge+2%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on First Vienna, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-18.

Opened 1.83Now 1.65 -0.17
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
First Vienna1.831.65-0.17
Draw3.523.73+0.21
Floridsdorfer AC4.084.60+0.51

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

First Vienna and Floridsdorfer AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.95First Vienna
0.87Floridsdorfer AC
Total expected goals
2.82
Attack rating (First Vienna / Floridsdorfer AC)
1.39 / 1.03
Defence rating (First Vienna / Floridsdorfer AC)
0.66 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 1 10.6% 11.1% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 2 11.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 3 7.4% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 5.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: First Vienna goals. Columns: Floridsdorfer AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 31%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2First Vienna57%1.75
Draw24%4.12
Floridsdorfer AC19%5.34
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553%1.87
Under 2.547%2.15
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.97
No49%2.03
Double chance1X (First Vienna or draw)81%1.23
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Floridsdorfer AC)43%2.32
Handicap -1First Vienna win by 2+38%2.63
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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First Vienna and Floridsdorfer AC recent form

First Vienna 6W 0D 0L
Floridsdorfer AC 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

First Vienna at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Floridsdorfer AC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: First Vienna at home only, Floridsdorfer AC away only.

First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: First Vienna 2 · draws 1 · Floridsdorfer AC 5.

First ViennaDrawsFloridsdorfer AC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-06Floridsdorfer AC0-1First Vienna2. Liga
2025-10-03First Vienna0-2Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2025-03-09Floridsdorfer AC2-1First Vienna2. Liga
2024-08-23First Vienna0-2Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2024-04-27Floridsdorfer AC1-0First Vienna2. Liga
2023-10-06First Vienna2-2Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2023-04-16First Vienna0-3Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2022-07-31Floridsdorfer AC0-1First Vienna2. Liga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot First Vienna to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on First Vienna