SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten

SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten: model vs market

• Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded 2026-10-22 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SKN ST. Polten, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-20.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

2.24

Attack rating (SV Kapfenberg / SKN ST. Polten)

0.91 / 0.73

Defence rating (SV Kapfenberg / SKN ST. Polten)

1.18 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: SV Kapfenberg goals. Columns: SKN ST. Polten goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

47%

No goals (0–0)

12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten recent form

SV Kapfenberg WLLLLW 2W 0D 4L

SKN ST. Polten DLWWLW 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: SV Kapfenberg at home only, SKN ST. Polten away only.