FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering preview
In the upcoming match between FC BW Linz and FC Liefering, the 1X2 probabilities show FC BW Linz at 63%, while both teams are tied at 19% for a draw and FC Liefering. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% chance. The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 71%.
FC BW Linz has an expected goals figure of 2.62 compared to FC Liefering's 1.42. However, recent form shows FC BW Linz with mixed results, including a draw and two wins in their last five matches, while FC Liefering has two wins and a draw in their last five. This variance in form could impact the match outcome.
FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering: model vs market
| Source | FC BW Linz | Draw | FC Liefering |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Published | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.42.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC BW Linz, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.15 | 5.15 | +0.00 |
| FC Liefering | 5.90 | 5.90 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC BW Linz and FC Liefering expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.03
- Attack rating (FC BW Linz / FC Liefering)
- 1.47 / 1.37
- Defence rating (FC BW Linz / FC Liefering)
- 0.80 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC BW Linz goals. Columns: FC Liefering goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC BW Linz | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 | |
| FC Liefering | 16% | 6.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC BW Linz or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Liefering) | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC BW Linz win by 2+ | 43% | 2.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC BW Linz and FC Liefering recent form
FC BW Linz
3W 1D 2L
FC Liefering
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC BW Linz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Liefering away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC BW Linz at home only, FC Liefering away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-16
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Voitsberg vs First Vienna 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-10-16
- Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker — match page 2026-10-17
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten 2026-10-17
- Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FC BW Linz, previous: SKU Amstetten v FC BW Linz analysis
- FC Liefering, previous: FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II prediction