Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten preview
In the upcoming match between Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten, the 1X2 probabilities show SKU Amstetten at 40%, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz sits at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score has a probability of 63%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 60%.
Recent form indicates Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has two losses followed by a win, while SKU Amstetten has drawn twice in their last three matches. The expected goals are closely matched, with Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 1.58 and SKU Amstetten at 1.52. A draw is also a possibility, given the 26% chance, which could affect the outcome of the match.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten: model vs market
| Source | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Draw | SKU Amstetten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Published | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Edge | +5% | 0% | -6% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.26, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SKU Amstetten, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2.79 | 2.80 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.61 | 3.62 | +0.01 |
| SKU Amstetten | 2.24 | 2.23 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / SKU Amstetten)
- 0.97 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / SKU Amstetten)
- 1.00 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals. Columns: SKU Amstetten goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| SKU Amstetten | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or SKU Amstetten) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | SKU Amstetten win by 2+ | 18% | 5.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SKU Amstetten recent form
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2W 1D 3L
SKU Amstetten
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SKU Amstetten away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home only, SKU Amstetten away only.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKU Amstetten head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 4 · draws 0 · SKU Amstetten 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | SKU Amstetten | 2-3 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| 2025-10-18 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 0-2 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2025-03-14 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2-1 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2024-08-30 | SKU Amstetten | 1-2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| 2024-02-24 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 0-1 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2023-08-05 | SKU Amstetten | 1-2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II 2026-10-16
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Voitsberg vs First Vienna 2026-10-16
- Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-10-16
- Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker — match page 2026-10-17
- FC BW Linz v FC Liefering — match page 2026-10-17
- Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, previous: WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: odds and pick
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, next: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Red Bull Salzburg, 2026-10-28
- SKU Amstetten, previous: SKU Amstetten v FC BW Linz analysis