AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA preview
In the Challenger Pro League fixture between AS Eupen and Beerschot VA, the 1X2 probabilities show Beerschot VA at 48%, while AS Eupen stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, predicted with an 8% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each sit at 73%, indicating a strong expectation for an open match.
AS Eupen's recent form includes five wins followed by a loss, while Beerschot VA has six consecutive wins. The expected goals are 1.68 for AS Eupen and 2.13 for Beerschot VA. A draw is possible, as indicated by the 22% probability, which could disrupt the anticipated outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA: model vs market
| Source | AS Eupen | Draw | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.67.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Beerschot VA, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen | 2.75 | 2.85 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.40 | +0.06 |
| Beerschot VA | 2.28 | 2.15 | -0.13 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.72
- Attack rating (AS Eupen / Beerschot VA)
- 1.12 / 1.63
- Defence rating (AS Eupen / Beerschot VA)
- 0.92 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AS Eupen goals. Columns: Beerschot VA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Eupen | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Beerschot VA | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.40 |
| No | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AS Eupen or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Beerschot VA) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win by 2+ | 27% | 3.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA recent form
AS Eupen
5W 0D 1L
Beerschot VA
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AS Eupen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beerschot VA away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AS Eupen at home only, Beerschot VA away only.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: AS Eupen 0 · draws 2 · Beerschot VA 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | AS Eupen | 3-3 | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-08-16 | Beerschot VA | 1-1 | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. — match page 2026-10-23
- Seraing United v Excelsior Virton — match page 2026-10-24
- KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II 2026-10-24
- Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Liège vs Patro Eisden 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- AS Eupen, previous: KV Mechelen v AS Eupen analysis
- Beerschot VA, previous: Beerschot VA – Anderlecht, 2026-10-18