KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II preview
KRC Genk II faces Club Brugge II with a 48% chance of winning, while the visitors have a 29% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 2.14 for KRC Genk II and 1.65 for Club Brugge II. With 73% for Over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, there is a strong likelihood of an eventful match.
However, KRC Genk II's recent form shows inconsistency with two losses in their last six matches, while Club Brugge II has also struggled, with only one win in their last five games. This unpredictability could affect the outcome, making it essential to consider the teams' current performance levels alongside the statistics.
KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II: model vs market
| Source | KRC Genk II | Draw | Club Brugge II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 35% |
| Published | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.65.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on KRC Genk II, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk II | 2.20 | 2.20 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.65 | +0.00 |
| Club Brugge II | 2.60 | 2.60 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KRC Genk II and Club Brugge II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.79
- Attack rating (KRC Genk II / Club Brugge II)
- 1.05 / 1.01
- Defence rating (KRC Genk II / Club Brugge II)
- 1.20 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KRC Genk II goals. Columns: Club Brugge II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KRC Genk II | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Club Brugge II | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KRC Genk II or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Club Brugge II) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | KRC Genk II win by 2+ | 29% | 3.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KRC Genk II and Club Brugge II recent form
KRC Genk II
2W 1D 3L
Club Brugge II
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KRC Genk II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Club Brugge II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: KRC Genk II at home only, Club Brugge II away only.
KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: KRC Genk II 1 · draws 1 · Club Brugge II 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | KRC Genk II | 0-0 | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-08-31 | Club Brugge II | 1-2 | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-03-14 | Club Brugge II | 3-0 | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2024-11-09 | KRC Genk II | 1-2 | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2024-03-01 | Club Brugge II | 2-1 | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2023-08-25 | KRC Genk II | 0-3 | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2022-12-09 | KRC Genk II | 1-2 | Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2022-10-09 | Club Brugge II | 3-1 | KRC Genk II | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Francs Borains vs Dender — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. — match page 2026-10-23
- Seraing United v Excelsior Virton — match page 2026-10-24
- Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- AS Eupen v Beerschot VA — match page 2026-10-25
- Liège vs Patro Eisden 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- KRC Genk II, previous: Patro Eisden – KRC Genk II, 2026-10-11
- Club Brugge II, previous: Dender vs Club Brugge II: odds and pick