Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II preview
In the Challenger Pro League fixture on 2026-10-24, Lokeren-Temse has a 65% probability to win against KAA Gent II, who has only a 16% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Lokeren-Temse has an expected goals figure of 2.64, while KAA Gent II stands at 1.31.
The model also indicates a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 69%. However, Lokeren-Temse's recent form shows inconsistency, with two losses in their last six matches, which could affect the outcome. KAA Gent II's recent performance includes a win and a draw, suggesting they could pose a challenge.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II: model vs market
| Source | Lokeren-Temse | Draw | KAA Gent II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 18% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Published | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.31.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lokeren-Temse, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren-Temse | 1.48 | 1.50 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.00 |
| KAA Gent II | 5.20 | 5.20 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.95
- Attack rating (Lokeren-Temse / KAA Gent II)
- 1.37 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Lokeren-Temse / KAA Gent II)
- 0.99 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lokeren-Temse goals. Columns: KAA Gent II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokeren-Temse | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.86 | |
| KAA Gent II | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.46 |
| No | 31% | 3.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lokeren-Temse or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or KAA Gent II) | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lokeren-Temse win by 2+ | 45% | 2.22 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lokeren-Temse and KAA Gent II recent form
Lokeren-Temse
2W 1D 3L
KAA Gent II
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lokeren-Temse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
KAA Gent II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lokeren-Temse at home only, KAA Gent II away only.
Lokeren-Temse vs KAA Gent II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Lokeren-Temse 2 · draws 0 · KAA Gent II 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Lokeren-Temse | 4-1 | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-12-07 | KAA Gent II | 1-3 | Lokeren-Temse | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Francs Borains vs Dender — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. — match page 2026-10-23
- Seraing United v Excelsior Virton — match page 2026-10-24
- KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II 2026-10-24
- AS Eupen v Beerschot VA — match page 2026-10-25
- Liège vs Patro Eisden 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Lokeren-Temse, previous: Club Brugge KV v Lokeren-Temse analysis
- KAA Gent II, previous: KAA Gent II vs Seraing United: odds and pick