Pacific FC vs Forge preview
In the Canadian Premier League match between Pacific FC and Forge, the 1X2 probabilities show Forge at 70% to win, compared to Pacific FC's 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.01 for Pacific FC and 2.56 for Forge.
Forge's recent form includes three consecutive wins, while Pacific FC has struggled with four losses in their last five matches. The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 59%. However, if Pacific FC can improve their performance, they may challenge Forge's dominance, which has seen them win 9 out of the last 10 encounters.
Pacific FC vs Forge: model vs market
| Source | Pacific FC | Draw | Forge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 70% |
| Published | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.37, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pacific FC vs Forge odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Forge, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific FC | 7.20 | 7.20 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.17 | 5.17 | +0.00 |
| Forge | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pacific FC and Forge expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.57
- Attack rating (Pacific FC / Forge)
- 0.83 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Pacific FC / Forge)
- 1.48 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pacific FC vs Forge score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pacific FC goals. Columns: Forge goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pacific FC vs Forge goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pacific FC vs Forge
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacific FC | 12% | 8.03 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.67 | |
| Forge | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pacific FC or draw) | 30% | 3.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Forge) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Forge win by 2+ | 49% | 2.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pacific FC and Forge recent form
Pacific FC
1W 1D 4L
Forge
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pacific FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-9
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.85
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 13
- They have won 2 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Forge away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-3
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 0.92
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 17 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pacific FC at home only, Forge away only.
Pacific FC vs Forge head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Pacific FC 1 · draws 0 · Forge 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Forge | 3-0 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2026-08-22 | Forge | 2-0 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2026-04-26 | Pacific FC | 0-1 | Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| 2025-09-27 | Forge | 4-0 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2025-07-18 | Forge | 2-0 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2025-05-24 | Pacific FC | 0-1 | Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| 2025-04-12 | Pacific FC | 0-2 | Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| 2024-10-19 | Pacific FC | 1-0 | Forge | Canadian Premier League |
| 2024-08-30 | Forge | 2-0 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2024-07-14 | Forge | 2-1 | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC — team news & stats 2026-10-12
- Supra du Quebec vs York United 2026-10-16
- Vancouver FC v HFX Wanderers FC — match page 2026-10-17
- Atlético Ottawa vs Forge — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC 2026-10-17
- Cavalry FC v Vancouver FC — match page 2026-10-25
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- York United v Atlético Ottawa — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Pacific FC, previous: Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC prediction
- Forge, previous: Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: odds and pick