Cobresal vs Everton de Vina preview
In the fixture between Cobresal and Everton de Vina, the 1X2 probabilities show Everton de Vina at 44%, while Cobresal sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both at 67%. Cobresal's expected goals are 1.50, compared to Everton de Vina's 1.94.
Cobresal's recent form includes 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Everton de Vina has 4 wins and 1 draw in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Everton de Vina, who has 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 encounters. A potential upset could arise if Cobresal improves their scoring efficiency or if Everton de Vina's recent form falters.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina: model vs market
| Source | Cobresal | Draw | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Published | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Everton de Vina, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 2.58 | 2.98 | +0.40 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.58 | +0.28 |
| Everton de Vina | 2.73 | 2.14 | -0.58 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cobresal and Everton de Vina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Cobresal / Everton de Vina)
- 1.01 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Cobresal / Everton de Vina)
- 1.16 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cobresal goals. Columns: Everton de Vina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cobresal vs Everton de Vina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobresal | 31% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Everton de Vina | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cobresal or draw) | 56% | 1.79 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Everton de Vina) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton de Vina win by 2+ | 27% | 3.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cobresal and Everton de Vina recent form
Cobresal
2W 3D 1L
Everton de Vina
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cobresal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
Everton de Vina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-3
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Cobresal at home only, Everton de Vina away only.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Cobresal 0 · draws 1 · Everton de Vina 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Everton de Vina | 3-1 | Cobresal | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-11-09 | Cobresal | 1-2 | Everton de Vina | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-05-24 | Everton de Vina | 2-2 | Cobresal | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- O'Higgins vs Nublense 2026-10-31
- Huachipato v D. La Serena — match page 2026-11-01
- U. Catolica v Universidad de Chile — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Cobresal, previous: O'Higgins vs Cobresal: odds and pick
- Everton de Vina, previous: Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina prediction