Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal preview
In the upcoming match between Universidad de Chile and Cobresal, the 1X2 probabilities show Universidad de Chile at 72%, while Cobresal sits at 10%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 3-0, with a 9% chance. Universidad de Chile has an expected goals figure of 3.03, compared to Cobresal's 0.95, indicating a strong attacking performance.
However, Cobresal has a perfect record against Universidad de Chile in their last 3 encounters, winning all 3 matches. This historical performance could influence the outcome, despite the current statistics favoring Universidad de Chile. The model also suggests a 76% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score, which adds another layer of unpredictability to the match.
Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal: model vs market
| Source | Universidad de Chile | Draw | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Published | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.04 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Universidad de Chile, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 1.35 | 1.25 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.50 | +0.50 |
| Cobresal | 9.25 | 8.70 | -0.55 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Universidad de Chile and Cobresal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.98
- Attack rating (Universidad de Chile / Cobresal)
- 1.62 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Universidad de Chile / Cobresal)
- 0.78 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universidad de Chile goals. Columns: Cobresal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad de Chile | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.31 | |
| Cobresal | 10% | 10.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universidad de Chile or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Cobresal) | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad de Chile win by 2+ | 60% | 1.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Universidad de Chile and Cobresal recent form
Universidad de Chile
4W 0D 2L
Cobresal
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universidad de Chile at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-1
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 2.38
- Goals against / match
- 0.77
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 13
- They have won 14 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Cobresal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-8
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 2.23
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universidad de Chile at home only, Cobresal away only.
Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Universidad de Chile 0 · draws 0 · Cobresal 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Cobresal | 1-0 | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-08-04 | Universidad de Chile | 0-1 | Cobresal | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-03-02 | Cobresal | 2-1 | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- D. La Serena v Palestino — match page 2026-11-07
- Everton de Vina vs Concepción 2026-11-07
- Union La Calera v Huachipato — match page 2026-11-08
- A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nublense vs Colo Colo 2026-11-08
- U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Universidad de Chile, previous: U. Catolica – Universidad de Chile, 2026-11-01
- Cobresal, previous: Cobresal vs Everton de Vina prediction