Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins preview
In the match between Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins, the 1X2 probabilities show O'Higgins at 39%, compared to Universidad de Concepcion at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which aligns with O'Higgins' expected goals of 1.16 against Universidad de Concepcion's 0.92.
While both teams to score is at 43%, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is lower at 34%. Universidad de Concepcion's recent form is concerning, with 6 matches resulting in 5 losses, while O'Higgins has shown some resilience with 2 wins in their last 6. This could impact the outcome, as form plays a significant role in match performance.
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins: model vs market
| Source | Universidad de Concepcion | Draw | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 33% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Published | 31% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins odds movement
Median bookmaker price on O'Higgins, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 2.65 | 2.85 | +0.20 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| O'Higgins | 2.67 | 2.36 | -0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.08
- Attack rating (Universidad de Concepcion / O'Higgins)
- 0.60 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Universidad de Concepcion / O'Higgins)
- 1.40 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universidad de Concepcion goals. Columns: O'Higgins goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad de Concepcion | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| O'Higgins | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universidad de Concepcion or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or O'Higgins) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win by 2+ | 17% | 5.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins recent form
Universidad de Concepcion
0W 1D 5L
O'Higgins
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universidad de Concepcion at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-6
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
O'Higgins away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-7
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.85
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universidad de Concepcion at home only, O'Higgins away only.
Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Universidad de Concepcion 2 · draws 2 · O'Higgins 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | O'Higgins | 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion | Chile Primera División |
| 2021-01-20 | O'Higgins | 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2020-09-24 | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-4 | O'Higgins | Primera División |
| 2019-10-13 | O'Higgins | 1-2 | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2019-05-26 | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-1 | O'Higgins | Primera División |
| 2018-11-02 | O'Higgins | 4-2 | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División |
| 2018-02-03 | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-2 | O'Higgins | Primera División |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- D. La Serena v Palestino — match page 2026-11-07
- Everton de Vina vs Concepción 2026-11-07
- Universidad de Chile v Cobresal — match page 2026-11-08
- Union La Calera v Huachipato — match page 2026-11-08
- A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nublense vs Colo Colo 2026-11-08
- U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Universidad de Concepcion, previous: Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction
- O'Higgins, previous: O'Higgins – Nublense, 2026-10-31