O'Higgins vs Nublense preview
In the fixture between O'Higgins and Nublense, the 1X2 probabilities show O'Higgins at 54%, while Nublense sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of O'Higgins at 1.77 and Nublense at 1.02.
Both teams to score stands at 54%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 53%, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match. However, O'Higgins' recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Nublense has lost 5 of their last 6. This inconsistency could affect the expected outcomes.
O'Higgins vs Nublense: model vs market
| Source | O'Higgins | Draw | Nublense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Published | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.10.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
O'Higgins vs Nublense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on O'Higgins, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 2.01 | 2.05 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Nublense | 3.48 | 3.67 | +0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
O'Higgins and Nublense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.79
- Attack rating (O'Higgins / Nublense)
- 0.73 / 0.89
- Defence rating (O'Higgins / Nublense)
- 1.08 / 1.44
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
O'Higgins vs Nublense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: O'Higgins goals. Columns: Nublense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
O'Higgins vs Nublense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for O'Higgins vs Nublense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Nublense | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (O'Higgins or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Nublense) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
O'Higgins and Nublense recent form
O'Higgins
1W 1D 4L
Nublense
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
O'Higgins at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-6
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
Nublense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: O'Higgins at home only, Nublense away only.
O'Higgins vs Nublense head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: O'Higgins 3 · draws 0 · Nublense 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Nublense | 0-2 | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-11-08 | O'Higgins | 4-2 | Nublense | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-05-25 | Nublense | 0-1 | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
- O'Higgins, previous: O'Higgins vs Cobresal: odds and pick
- Nublense, previous: Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido prediction