U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache preview
In the fixture between U. Catolica and Deportes Limache, the 1X2 probabilities show U. Catolica at 60% and Deportes Limache at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both predicted at 62%.
U. Catolica has a recent form of W-D-L-W-W-W, while Deportes Limache has W-D-L-W-W-L. U. Catolica has won all three of their last head-to-head matches against Deportes Limache. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating potential uncertainty in the predictions.
U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache: model vs market
| Source | U. Catolica | Draw | Deportes Limache |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.29.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache odds movement
Median bookmaker price on U. Catolica, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 1.67 | 1.48 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.33 | +0.43 |
| Deportes Limache | 5.01 | 5.50 | +0.49 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
U. Catolica and Deportes Limache expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (U. Catolica / Deportes Limache)
- 1.13 / 1.11
- Defence rating (U. Catolica / Deportes Limache)
- 1.02 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: U. Catolica goals. Columns: Deportes Limache goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | U. Catolica | 58% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.48 | |
| Deportes Limache | 19% | 5.18 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (U. Catolica or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportes Limache) | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | U. Catolica win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
U. Catolica and Deportes Limache recent form
U. Catolica
4W 1D 1L
Deportes Limache
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
U. Catolica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-3
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 2.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportes Limache away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: U. Catolica at home only, Deportes Limache away only.
U. Catolica vs Deportes Limache head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: U. Catolica 3 · draws 0 · Deportes Limache 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Deportes Limache | 0-2 | U. Catolica | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-09-13 | Deportes Limache | 0-1 | U. Catolica | Chile Primera División |
| 2025-04-19 | U. Catolica | 2-1 | Deportes Limache | Chile Primera División |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- D. La Serena v Palestino — match page 2026-11-07
- Everton de Vina vs Concepción 2026-11-07
- Universidad de Chile v Cobresal — match page 2026-11-08
- Union La Calera v Huachipato — match page 2026-11-08
- A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nublense vs Colo Colo 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- U. Catolica, previous: U. Catolica – Universidad de Chile, 2026-11-01
- Deportes Limache, previous: Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano: odds and pick