Updated

Cyprus 1. Division · Matchday 7

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou

· Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium, Larnaca

Alin prediction Anorthosis to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AnorthosisDrawOmonia Aradippou
Best market odds
Anorthosis2.15 Draw3.28 Omonia Aradippou3.40

Price as of

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou preview

Anorthosis faces Omonia Aradippou with 37% chances to win compared to 33% for Omonia. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 10% probability. Anorthosis has struggled recently, losing 5 of their last 6 matches, while Omonia Aradippou has shown better form with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games.

In terms of goals, there is a 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score. Expected goals are close, with Anorthosis at 1.23 and Omonia Aradippou at 1.16. The recent head-to-head record shows Anorthosis has not won in their last 3 encounters, with 2 draws and 1 loss.

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAnorthosisDrawOmonia Aradippou
Model38%32%30%
Market44%28%28%
Published42%29%29%
Edge-6%+3%+2%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.

Anorthosis and Omonia Aradippou expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.19Anorthosis
1.03Omonia Aradippou
Total expected goals
2.22
Attack rating (Anorthosis / Omonia Aradippou)
0.85 / 0.73
Defence rating (Anorthosis / Omonia Aradippou)
1.16 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.2% 9.9% 5.8% 2.0% 0.6% 1 11.5% 14.7% 6.9% 2.4% 0.8% 2 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 3 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Anorthosis goals. Columns: Omonia Aradippou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 38%
Over 3.5 18%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Anorthosis42%2.37
Draw29%3.43
Omonia Aradippou29%3.49
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538%2.61
Under 2.562%1.62
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.17
No54%1.85
Double chance1X (Anorthosis or draw)71%1.40
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or Omonia Aradippou)58%1.73
Handicap -1Anorthosis win by 2+17%5.96
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Anorthosis and Omonia Aradippou recent form

Anorthosis 1W 0D 5L
Omonia Aradippou 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Anorthosis at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Omonia Aradippou away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Anorthosis at home only, Omonia Aradippou away only.

Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Anorthosis 0 · draws 2 · Omonia Aradippou 1.

AnorthosisDrawsOmonia Aradippou
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-19Anorthosis1-1Omonia AradippouCyprus 1. Division
2025-12-13Omonia Aradippou1-0AnorthosisCyprus 1. Division
2025-08-23Anorthosis0-0Omonia AradippouCyprus 1. Division

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Anorthosis to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Anorthosis