Updated

Cyprus 1. Division · Matchday 7

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas

· GSP Stadium, Nicosia

Alin prediction Olympiakos to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
OlympiakosDrawKrasava Ypsonas
Best market odds
Olympiakos2.02 Draw3.50 Krasava Ypsonas4.33

Price as of

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas preview

In the fixture between Olympiakos and Krasava Ypsonas, the 1X2 probabilities show Olympiakos at 61%, while Krasava Ypsonas sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.25 for Olympiakos and 1.15 for Krasava Ypsonas.

Olympiakos has struggled recently, recording four draws and a loss in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Krasava Ypsonas has not won in their last five games either, with four losses and a draw. While Over 2.5 goals stands at 66% and both teams to score at 62%, the recent form of both teams could impact these outcomes.

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOlympiakosDrawKrasava Ypsonas
Model58%22%20%
Market47%28%25%
Published50%26%24%
Edge+11%-6%-6%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.20.
  • The market prices Olympiakos below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Olympiakos and Krasava Ypsonas expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.15Olympiakos
1.20Krasava Ypsonas
Total expected goals
3.35
Attack rating (Olympiakos / Krasava Ypsonas)
1.07 / 0.89
Defence rating (Olympiakos / Krasava Ypsonas)
1.10 / 1.37

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1 6.7% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8% 2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9% 3 5.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6% 4+ 5.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6%

Rows: Olympiakos goals. Columns: Krasava Ypsonas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
63%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Olympiakos50%2.00
Draw26%3.80
Krasava Ypsonas24%4.21
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.54
Under 2.535%2.85
Both teams to scoreYes63%1.60
No37%2.67
Double chance1X (Olympiakos or draw)76%1.31
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Krasava Ypsonas)50%2.00
Handicap -1Olympiakos win by 2+37%2.73
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Olympiakos and Krasava Ypsonas recent form

Olympiakos 1W 4D 1L
Krasava Ypsonas 1W 0D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympiakos at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Krasava Ypsonas away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Olympiakos at home only, Krasava Ypsonas away only.

Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Olympiakos 0 · draws 1 · Krasava Ypsonas 2.

OlympiakosDrawsKrasava Ypsonas
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-21Krasava Ypsonas1-0OlympiakosCyprus 1. Division
2026-01-12Krasava Ypsonas1-0OlympiakosCyprus 1. Division
2025-09-19Olympiakos1-1Krasava YpsonasCyprus 1. Division

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Olympiakos to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Olympiakos