Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou preview
Apoel Nicosia faces Omonia 29is Maiou with a 42% chance of winning compared to Omonia's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, reflecting Apoel's expected goals of 1.94 against Omonia's 1.76. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 72%, indicating a strong likelihood of an open match.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Apoel has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Omonia has only one win in their last five. This inconsistency may affect the expected results, making it possible for either team to outperform predictions.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou: model vs market
| Source | Apoel Nicosia | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Published | 67% | 19% | 15% |
| Edge | -38% | +8% | +30% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.22, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Apoel Nicosia / Omonia 29is Maiou)
- 1.10 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Apoel Nicosia / Omonia 29is Maiou)
- 1.20 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Apoel Nicosia goals. Columns: Omonia 29is Maiou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 15% | 6.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Apoel Nicosia or draw) | 85% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Omonia 29is Maiou) | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Apoel Nicosia win by 2+ | 20% | 4.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
Apoel Nicosia
2W 1D 3L
Omonia 29is Maiou
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Apoel Nicosia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Omonia 29is Maiou away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Apoel Nicosia at home only, Omonia 29is Maiou away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas 2026-10-24
- Anorthosis vs Omonia Aradippou — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Karmiotissa vs Apollon Limassol — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- AEL vs Aris 2026-10-25
- Nea Salamis v Pafos — match page 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Apoel Nicosia, previous: Pafos v Apoel Nicosia analysis
- Omonia 29is Maiou, previous: Omonia 29is Maiou v Anorthosis analysis