Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa preview

Krasava Ypsonas face Karmiotissa with a 40% chance of winning compared to Karmiotissa's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Both teams to score stands at 55%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides.

Krasava Ypsonas have struggled recently, with 5 consecutive losses followed by a draw, while Karmiotissa has 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. This recent form could affect the predicted outcome, as both teams are looking for improvement. The expected goals are 1.45 for Krasava Ypsonas and 1.23 for Karmiotissa, suggesting a competitive match. Over 2.5 goals is forecasted at 50%.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Krasava Ypsonas	Draw	Karmiotissa
Model	41%	28%	31%
Market	40%	27%	33%
Published	40%	27%	32%
Edge	+1%	+1%	-2%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded 2026-10-14 — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Krasava Ypsonas, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 2.30Now 2.30 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Krasava Ypsonas	2.30	2.30	+0.00
Draw	3.40	3.40	+0.00
Karmiotissa	2.80	2.80	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Krasava Ypsonas and Karmiotissa expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.45Krasava Ypsonas

1.23Karmiotissa

Total expected goals: 2.68
Attack rating (Krasava Ypsonas / Karmiotissa): 0.85 / 0.71
Defence rating (Krasava Ypsonas / Karmiotissa): 1.43 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.1% 7.2% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 1 8.7% 13.4% 7.5% 3.1% 1.2% 2 7.2% 8.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.9% 3 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Krasava Ypsonas goals. Columns: Karmiotissa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 55%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Krasava Ypsonas	40%	2.48
	Draw	27%	3.66
	Karmiotissa	32%	3.09
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	1.99
	Under 2.5	50%	2.01
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	1.80
	No	45%	2.25
Double chance	1X (Krasava Ypsonas or draw)	68%	1.48
	12 (either side)	73%	1.38
	X2 (draw or Karmiotissa)	60%	1.67
Handicap -1	Krasava Ypsonas win by 2+	20%	4.92
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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