Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis preview

In the match between Omonia 29is Maiou and Anorthosis, the 1X2 probabilities show Omonia at 52%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. Omonia has an expected goals figure of 2.09, while Anorthosis sits at 1.42. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 67%.

However, the recent form could impact the outcome. Omonia has two losses and two draws in their last five matches, while Anorthosis has lost four of their last five. This inconsistency could lead to a different result than predicted, especially if Anorthosis finds their form.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Omonia 29is Maiou	Draw	Anorthosis
Model	52%	23%	25%
Market	—	—	—
Published	52%	23%	25%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.41.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Omonia 29is Maiou and Anorthosis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.10Omonia 29is Maiou

1.41Anorthosis

Total expected goals: 3.51
Attack rating (Omonia 29is Maiou / Anorthosis): 1.21 / 0.97
Defence rating (Omonia 29is Maiou / Anorthosis): 1.20 / 1.19

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.9% 3.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 1 5.4% 9.7% 6.3% 3.0% 1.4% 2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.5% 3 4.6% 6.5% 4.6% 2.2% 1.0% 4+ 3.9% 5.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.9%

Rows: Omonia 29is Maiou goals. Columns: Anorthosis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 87%

Over 2.5 68%

Over 3.5 47%

Both teams to score: 67%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Omonia 29is Maiou	52%	1.91
	Draw	23%	4.39
	Anorthosis	25%	4.02
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	1.47
	Under 2.5	32%	3.14
Both teams to score	Yes	67%	1.49
	No	33%	3.06
Double chance	1X (Omonia 29is Maiou or draw)	75%	1.33
	12 (either side)	77%	1.30
	X2 (draw or Anorthosis)	48%	2.10
Handicap -1	Omonia 29is Maiou win by 2+	32%	3.15
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer