Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos Prediction & Betting Tips 19/10/2026

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos preview

In the upcoming match between Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos, the 1X2 probabilities show Omonia Nicosia at 69%, with the most likely scoreline predicted at 2-0 (13%). Omonia Nicosia has been in strong form, with a recent record of W-W-W-D-W-D, while Olympiakos has struggled, recording L-D-D-D-D-W.

The model suggests a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score. However, if Olympiakos improves its performance, it could alter the expected outcome. The expected goals are 2.18 for Omonia Nicosia and 0.75 for Olympiakos, indicating a significant disparity in attacking capabilities.

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Omonia Nicosia	Draw	Olympiakos
Model	69%	20%	11%
Market	73%	18%	9%
Published	72%	18%	10%
Edge	-4%	+2%	+1%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.75.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.31, recorded 2026-10-14 — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Omonia Nicosia, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-14.

Opened 1.25Now 1.25 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Omonia Nicosia	1.25	1.25	+0.00
Draw	5.20	5.20	+0.00
Olympiakos	10.00	10.00	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Omonia Nicosia and Olympiakos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.19Omonia Nicosia

0.75Olympiakos

Total expected goals: 2.94
Attack rating (Omonia Nicosia / Olympiakos): 1.35 / 1.07
Defence rating (Omonia Nicosia / Olympiakos): 0.58 / 1.10

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1 10.7% 9.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 2 12.7% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 3 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 4+ 8.4% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%

Rows: Omonia Nicosia goals. Columns: Olympiakos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 80%

Over 2.5 56%

Over 3.5 34%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Omonia Nicosia	72%	1.38
	Draw	18%	5.49
	Olympiakos	10%	10.52
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56%	1.78
	Under 2.5	44%	2.29
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.09
	No	52%	1.91
Double chance	1X (Omonia Nicosia or draw)	90%	1.11
	12 (either side)	82%	1.22
	X2 (draw or Olympiakos)	28%	3.61
Handicap -1	Omonia Nicosia win by 2+	46%	2.16
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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