Opava vs Baník Ostrava II preview
In the upcoming match between Opava and Baník Ostrava II, the 1X2 probabilities show Baník Ostrava II at 41%, while Opava stands at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams have shown attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.60 for Opava and 1.76 for Baník Ostrava II.
The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. Recent form also shows Baník Ostrava II with a stronger record, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Opava has only 2 wins in the same period. This could impact the outcome significantly.
Opava vs Baník Ostrava II: model vs market
| Source | Opava | Draw | Baník Ostrava II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Opava and Baník Ostrava II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.36
- Attack rating (Opava / Baník Ostrava II)
- 1.04 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Opava / Baník Ostrava II)
- 1.25 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Opava vs Baník Ostrava II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Opava goals. Columns: Baník Ostrava II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Opava vs Baník Ostrava II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Opava vs Baník Ostrava II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Opava | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Baník Ostrava II | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Opava or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Baník Ostrava II) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Opava and Baník Ostrava II recent form
Opava
2W 2D 2L
Baník Ostrava II
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Opava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Opava at home only, Baník Ostrava II away only.
Opava vs Baník Ostrava II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Opava 1 · draws 0 · Baník Ostrava II 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Baník Ostrava II | 2-0 | Opava | FNL |
| 2025-09-15 | Opava | 1-0 | Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná 2026-10-23
- Dukla Praha vs Kladno — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Táborsko v Třinec — match page 2026-10-23
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Vlašim — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Příbram — match page 2026-10-24
- Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Opava, previous: Opava v Vysočina Jihlava analysis
- Baník Ostrava II, previous: Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II: odds and pick