Updated

FNL · Matchday 12

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov

· Stadium Viktoria Zizkov, Prague

Alin prediction Slavia Praha II to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Slavia Praha IIDrawProstějov

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov preview

In the fixture between Slavia Praha II and Prostějov, the 1X2 probabilities show Slavia Praha II at 44%, draw at 24%, and Prostějov at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Slavia Praha II has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-L-D-D, while Prostějov has a slightly better recent record of D-D-D-D-D-L.

The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. However, the recent poor form of Slavia Praha II could lead to an unexpected outcome, affecting the predicted scoreline and the overall match dynamics. The expected goals are 1.84 for Slavia Praha II and 1.56 for Prostějov, suggesting a competitive match.

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSlavia Praha IIDrawProstějov
Model44%24%32%
Market———
Published44%24%32%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Slavia Praha II and Prostějov expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.84Slavia Praha II
1.56Prostějov
Total expected goals
3.40
Attack rating (Slavia Praha II / Prostějov)
1.11 / 1.00
Defence rating (Slavia Praha II / Prostějov)
1.26 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 2.1% 1.2% 1 5.2% 10.5% 7.5% 3.9% 2.2% 2 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 2.0% 3 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 1.2% 4+ 2.4% 3.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9%

Rows: Slavia Praha II goals. Columns: Prostějov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 66%
Over 3.5 44%
Both teams to score
67%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Slavia Praha II44%2.30
Draw24%4.11
Prostějov32%3.11
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566%1.51
Under 2.534%2.95
Both teams to scoreYes67%1.48
No33%3.07
Double chance1X (Slavia Praha II or draw)68%1.47
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Prostějov)56%1.77
Handicap -1Slavia Praha II win by 2+24%4.14
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Slavia Praha II and Prostějov recent form

Slavia Praha II 0W 2D 4L
Prostějov 0W 5D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Slavia Praha II at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prostějov away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Slavia Praha II at home only, Prostějov away only.

Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Slavia Praha II 1 · draws 1 · Prostějov 0.

Slavia Praha IIDrawsProstějov
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-15Slavia Praha II1-1ProstějovFNL
2025-08-08Prostějov2-3Slavia Praha IIFNL

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Slavia Praha II to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Slavia Praha II