Updated

FNL · Matchday 12

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov

· Stadium Kromeriz, Kromeriz

Alin prediction Hanácká to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
HanáckáDrawViktoria Žižkov

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov preview

In the upcoming fixture between Hanácká and Viktoria Žižkov, the 1X2 probabilities show Hanácká at 39%, Viktoria Žižkov at 34%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score is at 60%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 56%.

Hanácká's recent form shows 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Viktoria Žižkov has 3 wins in the same period. The expected goals are 1.53 for Hanácká and 1.40 for Viktoria Žižkov. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is Hanácká's struggle to secure wins lately, which may influence their performance despite the home advantage.

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHanáckáDrawViktoria Žižkov
Model39%26%34%
Market———
Published39%26%34%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Hanácká and Viktoria Žižkov expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.56Hanácká
1.45Viktoria Žižkov
Total expected goals
3.01
Attack rating (Hanácká / Viktoria Žižkov)
0.82 / 0.91
Defence rating (Hanácká / Viktoria Žižkov)
1.29 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 6.1% 5.2% 2.5% 1.3% 1 6.6% 12.3% 8.1% 3.9% 2.0% 2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.5% 3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 4+ 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%

Rows: Hanácká goals. Columns: Viktoria Žižkov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Hanácká39%2.56
Draw26%3.78
Viktoria Žižkov34%2.90
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.73
Under 2.542%2.37
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.60
Double chance1X (Hanácká or draw)66%1.53
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Viktoria Žižkov)61%1.64
Handicap -1Hanácká win by 2+20%5.04
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Hanácká and Viktoria Žižkov recent form

Hanácká 1W 2D 3L
Viktoria Žižkov 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hanácká at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viktoria Žižkov away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Hanácká at home only, Viktoria Žižkov away only.

Hanácká vs Viktoria Žižkov head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Hanácká 1 · draws 0 · Viktoria Žižkov 1.

HanáckáDrawsViktoria Žižkov
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-23Viktoria Žižkov1-2HanáckáFNL
2025-07-19Hanácká1-2Viktoria ŽižkovFNL

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Hanácká to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Hanácká