Updated

Egypt Premier League · Matchday 6

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla

· Suez Stadium, Suez

Full time2 – 2

Alin prediction was Wadi Degla to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PetrojetDrawWadi Degla

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePetrojetDrawWadi Degla
Model38%27%36%
Market33%32%35%
Published34%31%35%
Edge+1%-1%0%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Wadi Degla, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 2.54Now 2.62 +0.08
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Petrojet3.002.82-0.18
Draw2.672.90+0.23
Wadi Degla2.542.62+0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Petrojet and Wadi Degla expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.51Petrojet
1.47Wadi Degla
Total expected goals
2.98
Attack rating (Petrojet / Wadi Degla)
1.42 / 1.16
Defence rating (Petrojet / Wadi Degla)
1.27 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.2% 6.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.4% 1 6.5% 12.4% 8.3% 4.1% 2.1% 2 5.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.6% 3 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.8% 4+ 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Petrojet goals. Columns: Wadi Degla goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
61%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Petrojet vs Wadi Degla

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Petrojet34%2.94
Draw31%3.27
Wadi Degla35%2.82
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.75
Under 2.543%2.34
Both teams to scoreYes61%1.63
No39%2.58
Double chance1X (Petrojet or draw)65%1.55
12 (either side)69%1.44
X2 (draw or Wadi Degla)66%1.52
Handicap -1Wadi Degla win by 2+17%5.73
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Petrojet and Wadi Degla recent form

Petrojet 2W 1D 3L
Wadi Degla 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Petrojet at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Wadi Degla away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Petrojet at home only, Wadi Degla away only.

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Petrojet 7 · draws 2 · Wadi Degla 1.

PetrojetDrawsWadi Degla
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-08Petrojet2-2Wadi DeglaEgypt Premier League
2025-12-11Wadi Degla1-2PetrojetLeague Cup
2025-11-27Petrojet1-0Wadi DeglaCup
2025-08-20Wadi Degla0-1PetrojetEgypt Premier League
2024-04-29Petrojet3-1Wadi DeglaSecond League
2023-11-12Wadi Degla1-1PetrojetSecond League
2023-03-09Wadi Degla0-1PetrojetSecond League - Group B
2022-11-18Petrojet1-2Wadi DeglaSecond League - Group B
2022-02-18Wadi Degla1-2PetrojetSecond League - Group B
2021-10-22Petrojet1-0Wadi DeglaSecond League - Group B

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match