Updated

Egypt Premier League · Matchday 6

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry

· Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia· Referee M. El Ghazy

Full time1 – 1

Alin prediction was AL Masry to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Olympic El QanahDrawAL Masry

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOlympic El QanahDrawAL Masry
Model42%32%26%
Market20%30%50%
Published26%30%44%
Edge+5%0%-6%
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry odds movement

Median bookmaker price on AL Masry, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.80Now 1.83 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Olympic El Qanah4.744.53-0.21
Draw3.123.09-0.03
AL Masry1.801.83+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23Olympic El Qanah
0.92AL Masry
Total expected goals
2.15
Attack rating (Olympic El Qanah / AL Masry)
0.97 / 0.91
Defence rating (Olympic El Qanah / AL Masry)
1.02 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 1 13.0% 14.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 2 8.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 3 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Olympic El Qanah goals. Columns: AL Masry goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 36%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Olympic El Qanah26%3.89
Draw30%3.31
AL Masry44%2.27
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.75
Under 2.564%1.57
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.28
No56%1.78
Double chance1X (Olympic El Qanah or draw)56%1.79
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or AL Masry)74%1.35
Handicap -1AL Masry win by 2+10%10.41
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry recent form

Olympic El Qanah 1W 3D 1L
AL Masry 2W 0D 4L

Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympic El Qanah at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

AL Masry away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Olympic El Qanah at home only, AL Masry away only.

Expected lineups

Olympic El Qanah lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 Mohamed Shaaban
  2. 15 Mohab Samy
  3. 5 Ibrahim Samy
  4. 30 Ossama Fathy
  5. 20 H. Ibrahim
  6. 10 M. Hany
  7. 33 Mohamed Sadek
  8. 18 M. Wayo
  9. 9 Hazem Abou Sena

Bench: Mostafa Mahmoud, Momen Rady, Hossam Greisha, Mohamed Hozian, Mohamed Hassan, Mohamed Diab, Ahmed Ali

AL Masry lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 Mahmoud Hamdy
  2. 3 Mohamed Shokry
  3. 29 Mohamed Hashem
  4. 2 B. El Mohamady
  5. 7 Karim El Eraki
  6. 6 Mohamed Makhlouf
  7. 8 Hassan Ali
  8. 27 A. Ziani
  9. 32 Hussein Faisal
  10. 30 A. Deghmoum
  11. 25 M. Temine

Bench: Salah Mohsen, Mohamed El Shamy, Mahmoud Hamada, Ahmed El Armouty, K. Toual, A. Sulieman, Mostafa Al Aash

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Olympic El Qanah 0 · draws 2 · AL Masry 0.

Olympic El QanahDrawsAL Masry
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2014-05-13AL Masry0-0Olympic El QanahPremier League
2014-02-19Olympic El Qanah1-1AL MasryPremier League

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match