Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Olympic El Qanah	Draw	AL Masry
Model	42%	32%	26%
Market	20%	29%	51%
Published	25%	30%	45%
Edge	+22%	+2%	-25%

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry odds movement

Median bookmaker price on AL Masry, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.80Now 1.80 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Olympic El Qanah	4.74	4.64	-0.10
Draw	3.12	3.12	+0.00
AL Masry	1.80	1.80	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Olympic El Qanah and AL Masry expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.23Olympic El Qanah

0.92AL Masry

Total expected goals: 2.15
Attack rating (Olympic El Qanah / AL Masry): 0.97 / 0.91
Defence rating (Olympic El Qanah / AL Masry): 1.02 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.0% 9.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 1 13.0% 14.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 2 8.8% 8.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 3 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Olympic El Qanah goals. Columns: AL Masry goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%

Over 1.5 65%

Over 2.5 36%

Over 3.5 17%

Both teams to score: 44%
No goals (0–0): 13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Olympic El Qanah	25%	3.95
	Draw	30%	3.34
	AL Masry	45%	2.24
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	36%	2.75
	Under 2.5	64%	1.57
Both teams to score	Yes	44%	2.28
	No	56%	1.78
Double chance	1X (Olympic El Qanah or draw)	55%	1.81
	12 (either side)	70%	1.43
	X2 (draw or AL Masry)	75%	1.34
Handicap -1	AL Masry win by 2+	10%	10.41
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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