Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction & Betting Tips 12/10/2026

Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Pyramids FC	Draw	Ceramica Cleopatra
Model	48%	29%	23%
Market	60%	25%	16%
Published	57%	26%	18%
Edge	-12%	+4%	+7%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.93.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.

Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Pyramids FC, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.

Opened 1.54Now 1.54 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Pyramids FC	1.54	1.54	+0.00
Draw	3.75	3.75	+0.00
Ceramica Cleopatra	5.80	5.80	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Pyramids FC and Ceramica Cleopatra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.46Pyramids FC

0.93Ceramica Cleopatra

Total expected goals: 2.39
Attack rating (Pyramids FC / Ceramica Cleopatra): 1.79 / 1.33
Defence rating (Pyramids FC / Ceramica Cleopatra): 0.71 / 0.79

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 1 12.1% 13.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.5% 2 9.7% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.4% 3 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Pyramids FC goals. Columns: Ceramica Cleopatra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 70%

Over 2.5 43%

Over 3.5 22%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Pyramids FC	57%	1.76
	Draw	26%	3.90
	Ceramica Cleopatra	18%	5.68
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43%	2.33
	Under 2.5	57%	1.75
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.09
	No	52%	1.92
Double chance	1X (Pyramids FC or draw)	82%	1.21
	12 (either side)	74%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Ceramica Cleopatra)	43%	2.31
Handicap -1	Pyramids FC win by 2+	25%	4.07
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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