Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: model vs market
| Source | Pyramids FC | Draw | Ceramica Cleopatra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Published | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pyramids FC, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC | 1.54 | 1.40 | -0.14 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.90 | +0.15 |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 5.80 | 7.05 | +1.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pyramids FC and Ceramica Cleopatra expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Pyramids FC / Ceramica Cleopatra)
- 1.79 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Pyramids FC / Ceramica Cleopatra)
- 0.71 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pyramids FC goals. Columns: Ceramica Cleopatra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyramids FC | 60% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 15% | 6.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pyramids FC or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Ceramica Cleopatra) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win by 2+ | 24% | 4.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Pyramids FC and Ceramica Cleopatra recent form
Pyramids FC
6W 0D 0L
Ceramica Cleopatra
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pyramids FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ceramica Cleopatra away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pyramids FC at home only, Ceramica Cleopatra away only.
Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Pyramids FC 4 · draws 3 · Ceramica Cleopatra 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1-1 | Pyramids FC | Egypt Premier League |
| 2026-02-20 | Pyramids FC | 1-0 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Egypt Premier League |
| 2025-11-09 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2-1 | Pyramids FC | Super Cup |
| 2025-05-28 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1-5 | Pyramids FC | Premier League |
| 2025-03-05 | Pyramids FC | 2-1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
| 2024-10-24 | Pyramids FC | 2-2 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Super Cup |
| 2024-05-15 | Pyramids FC | 2-1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
| 2023-12-28 | Pyramids FC | 1-1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Super Cup |
| 2023-11-03 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2-0 | Pyramids FC | Premier League |
| 2023-07-10 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2-1 | Pyramids FC | Premier League |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Olympic El Qanah v AL Masry — match page 2026-10-11
- Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- El Mokawloon vs Masr 2026-10-12
- Future FC v Enppi — match page 2026-10-12
- Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla 2026-10-12
- National Bank of Egypt v El Geish — match page 2026-10-13
- Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol — team news & stats 2026-10-13
- Petrojet vs Wadi Degla 2026-10-13
Before and after this match
- Pyramids FC, next: EL Merriekh Bentiu – Pyramids FC, 2026-10-16
- Ceramica Cleopatra, next: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet: odds and pick