Firpo vs Isidro Metapán preview
In the match between Firpo and Isidro Metapán, the 1X2 probabilities show Firpo at 54%, while Isidro Metapán sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance. Firpo's expected goals are 1.51, compared to Isidro Metapán's 0.77, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, both teams to score stands at 43%, suggesting that Isidro Metapán could find the net. Recent form shows Firpo with a record of W-D-D-W-W-D, while Isidro Metapán has D-D-L-D-W-L. The head-to-head record is close, with Firpo winning 3 times and Isidro Metapán winning 4 times in their last 10 encounters.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán: model vs market
| Source | Firpo | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 29% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Firpo and Isidro Metapán expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Firpo / Isidro Metapán)
- 1.23 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Firpo / Isidro Metapán)
- 0.74 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Firpo goals. Columns: Isidro Metapán goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Firpo vs Isidro Metapán
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 50% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Isidro Metapán | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Firpo or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Isidro Metapán) | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win by 2+ | 26% | 3.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Firpo and Isidro Metapán recent form
Firpo
3W 3D 0L
Isidro Metapán
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Firpo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-1
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 0.36
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 11
- They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 19 matches.
Isidro Metapán away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-4-4
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Firpo at home only, Isidro Metapán away only.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Firpo 3 · draws 3 · Isidro Metapán 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Firpo | 1-2 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2026-05-10 | Firpo | 1-1 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2026-05-07 | Isidro Metapán | 1-2 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-16 | Firpo | 0-2 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-19 | Isidro Metapán | 1-0 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-02 | Firpo | 2-1 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-31 | Isidro Metapán | 2-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-20 | Firpo | 0-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-23 | Isidro Metapán | 0-0 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2024-11-10 | Firpo | 2-0 | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
- Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-05
- Inter vs Cacahuatique 2026-11-14
- Alianza v FAS — match page 2026-11-15
- Platense vs Atletico Balboa — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Inca Aruba vs Águila 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Firpo, previous: Cacahuatique vs Firpo prediction
- Isidro Metapán, previous: Isidro Metapán – Platense, 2026-11-11