Platense vs Atletico Balboa preview
In the match between Platense and Atletico Balboa, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with Platense at 36% and Atletico Balboa at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.44 for Platense and 1.48 for Atletico Balboa.
Both teams to score has a probability of 60%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 56%. However, recent form indicates Platense has struggled with L-D-D in their last three matches, while Atletico Balboa has shown better form with W-W-W. This could impact the match outcome, making it possible for the predictions to be inaccurate.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa: model vs market
| Source | Platense | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Platense and Atletico Balboa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Platense / Atletico Balboa)
- 0.91 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Platense / Atletico Balboa)
- 1.06 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Platense goals. Columns: Atletico Balboa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Platense vs Atletico Balboa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 35% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Atletico Balboa | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Platense or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Balboa) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Balboa win by 2+ | 20% | 5.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Platense and Atletico Balboa recent form
Platense
2W 2D 2L
Atletico Balboa
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Platense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-4
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.30
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Atletico Balboa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-5
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.70
- Goals against / match
- 2.10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Platense at home only, Atletico Balboa away only.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Platense 0 · draws 0 · Atletico Balboa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Atletico Balboa | 3-1 | Platense | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
- Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-05
- Firpo vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Inter vs Cacahuatique 2026-11-14
- Alianza v FAS — match page 2026-11-15
- Inca Aruba vs Águila 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Platense, previous: Isidro Metapán – Platense, 2026-11-11
- Atletico Balboa, previous: Atletico Balboa – Inca Aruba, 2026-11-12