Inter vs Cacahuatique Prediction & Betting Tips 14/11/2026

Inter vs Cacahuatique preview

Inter faces Cacahuatique with a 42% chance of winning compared to Cacahuatique's 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which our model predicts at 12%. Inter has an expected goals figure of 1.27, while Cacahuatique sits at 0.97.

Cacahuatique has shown strong recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Inter has struggled with 2 draws and 3 losses. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 39%, and both teams to score is at 46%. These figures suggest that while Inter is favored, recent performances could lead to unexpected outcomes.

Inter vs Cacahuatique: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Inter	Draw	Cacahuatique
Model	42%	31%	27%
Market	—	—	—
Published	42%	31%	27%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Inter and Cacahuatique expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.26Inter

0.98Cacahuatique

Total expected goals: 2.24
Attack rating (Inter / Cacahuatique): 0.95 / 0.86
Defence rating (Inter / Cacahuatique): 0.88 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Inter vs Cacahuatique score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.9% 9.1% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% 1 12.1% 14.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.6% 2 8.5% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 3 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Cacahuatique goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Inter vs Cacahuatique goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%

Over 1.5 67%

Over 2.5 39%

Over 3.5 19%

Both teams to score: 46%
No goals (0–0): 12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Inter vs Cacahuatique

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Inter	42%	2.41
	Draw	31%	3.22
	Cacahuatique	27%	3.65
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	39%	2.57
	Under 2.5	61%	1.64
Both teams to score	Yes	46%	2.17
	No	54%	1.85
Double chance	1X (Inter or draw)	73%	1.38
	12 (either side)	69%	1.45
	X2 (draw or Cacahuatique)	58%	1.71
Handicap -1	Inter win by 2+	19%	5.20
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Inter and Cacahuatique recent form

Inter 1W 3D 2L

Cacahuatique 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Inter at home

Record (W-D-L): 2-6-2
Win rate: 20%
Goals for / match: 1.20
Goals against / match: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 9 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Cacahuatique away

Record (W-D-L): 2-4-3
Win rate: 22%
Goals for / match: 1.11
Goals against / match: 1.33
Clean sheets: 4 of 9

They have won 4 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 7 clean sheets in 19 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Inter at home only, Cacahuatique away only.

Inter vs Cacahuatique head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Inter 2 · draws 1 · Cacahuatique 2.

40% 20% 40%

InterDrawsCacahuatique

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-09-13	Cacahuatique	0-2	Inter	Primera Division
2026-03-21	Cacahuatique	5-0	Inter	Primera Division
2026-01-24	Inter	2-1	Cacahuatique	Primera Division
2025-09-29	Cacahuatique	0-0	Inter	Primera Division
2025-07-27	Inter	1-2	Cacahuatique	Primera Division

Other Apertura - 21 fixtures

Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco — match page 2026-11-05
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-11-14
Alianza v FAS — match page 2026-11-15
Platense vs Atletico Balboa — team news & stats 2026-11-15
Inca Aruba vs Águila 2026-11-15

Before and after this match

Inter, previous: FAS vs Inter: odds and pick
Cacahuatique, previous: Cacahuatique vs Firpo prediction

Prediction snapshot Inter to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Inter