Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique preview
In the fixture between Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique, the 1X2 probabilities show Municipal Limeño at 52%, while Cacahuatique is at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which has an 11% chance. Municipal Limeño has an expected goals figure of 1.63 compared to Cacahuatique's 0.96, suggesting a tighter match.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Municipal Limeño has lost 5 of their last 6 matches, while Cacahuatique has drawn 2 of their last 3 games. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the match's outcome.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique: model vs market
| Source | Municipal Limeño | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Published | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.59
- Attack rating (Municipal Limeño / Cacahuatique)
- 1.11 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Municipal Limeño / Cacahuatique)
- 1.13 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Municipal Limeño goals. Columns: Cacahuatique goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Cacahuatique | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Municipal Limeño or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Cacahuatique) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win by 2+ | 28% | 3.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique recent form
Municipal Limeño
1W 0D 5L
Cacahuatique
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Municipal Limeño at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cacahuatique away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-3
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Municipal Limeño at home only, Cacahuatique away only.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Municipal Limeño 5 · draws 0 · Cacahuatique 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cacahuatique | 1-3 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2026-05-01 | Municipal Limeño | 2-3 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2026-03-08 | Cacahuatique | 0-5 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-11-16 | Municipal Limeño | 4-1 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-14 | Cacahuatique | 2-1 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-10 | Cacahuatique | 0-2 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-14 | Municipal Limeño | 1-2 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-08 | Cacahuatique | 0-1 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-06 | Municipal Limeño | 0-1 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2024-11-30 | Cacahuatique | 1-0 | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
- Inca Aruba vs Inter — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Alianza vs Isidro Metapán — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Águila vs FAS 2026-10-24
- Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa 2026-10-25
- Platense v Firpo — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Municipal Limeño, previous: Inter vs Municipal Limeño prediction
- Cacahuatique, previous: Cacahuatique – Alianza, 2026-10-17